VGK @ COL
Ball Arena · Denver, CO
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Recent Form
Colorado Avalanche
- L@ MIN5-1
- W@ MIN5-2
- Wvs MIN4-3 OT
- Lvs VGK4-2
- Lvs VGK3-1
Vegas Golden Knights
- L@ ANA4-3
- Wvs ANA3-2 OT
- W@ ANA5-1
- W@ COL4-2
- W@ COL3-1
Game Read
A transparent matchup read built from team strength, recent scoreboard history, league volatility, and available starter/bullpen context. It is analysis, not betting advice.
Vegas Golden Knights 2.8 · Colorado Avalanche 3.5
The projection leans Colorado Avalanche because Colorado Avalanche owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Vegas Golden Knights has the recent-form edge. Goalie SV% over the last five starts is the variable my margin number can't fully price.
Three things to watch
- Net efficiency. Colorado Avalanche projects 69% from points-for vs points-allowed; Vegas Golden Knights sits at 55%.
- Goalie matchup. Carter Hart (Vegas Golden Knights) vs. Scott Wedgewood (Colorado Avalanche).
Model: rafty-v2.0. Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, schedule-adjusted margin, recent form, rest, home venue, league volatility, and MLB starter/bullpen context when available. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.
Rafty Game Lab
Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.
Move a control to see what would swing the pick.
Why This Pick?
- Colorado Avalanche: Team baseline+7.8
- Colorado Avalanche: Home venue+1.7
- Colorado Avalanche: home pythag +0.28
- Vegas Golden Knights: scoring-margin gap -0.26
- Colorado Avalanche: expected-win gap +0.19
For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.
Key Players to Watch
Vegas Golden Knights
- Jack Eichel C · #9
- Mitch Marner RW · #93
- Pavel Dorofeyev RW · #16
- Ivan Barbashev LW · #49
Colorado Avalanche
- Nathan MacKinnon C · #29
- Martin Necas C · #88
- Cale Makar D · #8
- Sam Malinski D · #70
Injury Report
Colorado Avalanche
Vegas Golden Knights
On The Ice
Lines and pairings sketched from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.