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Yordan Alvarez‘s 30th home run of the season was worth pulling out of the wreckage. It came in the sixth inning of the Houston Astros7-3 loss in Arlington on Friday night, a game Texas pulled away with in the eighth, and it moved Alvarez into sole possession of second place on the major league home run leaderboard, two behind Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber at 32.

The full line through 94 games is the kind that ends up on award ballots: .312 average, 1.038 OPS, 68 RBI, and now 30 home runs with 66 games left on Houston’s schedule. His career high is 37, set in 2022, and at this pace it will fall sometime in August. The number carries extra weight given where he was a year ago — injuries limited him to 48 games and six home runs in 2025, and there were fair questions in the spring about what version of Alvarez the Astros would get back. The answer has been the best version yet.

What makes the season notable is not just the power. Alvarez is hitting for average while slugging .621, and he has done it through a first half in which Houston’s lineup around him has run hot and cold. The Astros sit third in the AL West at 46-50, three games behind Texas and 1.5 out of the final wild-card spot, having lost two straight. That an offense with this many question marks is still within striking distance of a playoff berth in July owes a great deal to the man hitting in the middle of it, and veterans who have carried October lineups before — as Alvarez did through Houston’s last championship core — tend to know how to carry September ones.

The gap between his production and the team’s record is the story of Houston’s season so far. If the Astros make their move in the second half, it will be because the roster around Alvarez finally matches him.

For fantasy purposes, there is nothing actionable about a player this good except perspective: he is a top-five rest-of-season bat, the 30-homer pace is fully supported by the average and slugging underneath it, and if a frustrated manager in your league is somehow souring on Houston’s team performance, Alvarez is the buy-high worth making before the second half.

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