Rafty’s Nest
Rafty’s Calls
2092–1391
60% correct · 3483 verified picks
Last 10
✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✗
Day334-23659%Afternoon108-8855%Night1650-106761%Indoor1733-114160%Outdoor359-25059%
Calibration (How Rafty’s confidence buckets actually performed)
| Confidence | NBA | NFL | MLB | NHL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-55% | 36%(20/56) | 57%(8/14) | 41%(12/29) | 50%(58/115) |
| 55-60% | 42%(34/81) | 53%(9/17) | 67%(30/45) | 53%(61/115) |
| 60-65% | 44%(19/43) | 50%(8/16) | 55%(26/47) | 55%(70/128) |
| 65-70% | 60%(38/63) | 53%(10/19) | 44%(27/62) | 55%(73/133) |
| 70-75% | 54%(44/81) | 58%(11/19) | 47%(27/58) | 59%(81/138) |
| 75-80% | 57%(54/94) | 48%(11/23) | 53%(28/53) | 51%(66/130) |
| 80+% | 74%(650/875) | 76%(134/176) | 54%(134/249) | 58%(349/603) |
Green means the bucket beat its claimed confidence; red means it under-performed. Cells need at least 10 picks before they show.
Today’s Calls (9)
MLBAthletics @ Philadelphia Phillies10:40 PM UTC · End 4thRafty: Philadelphia Phillies60% lean
MLBBaltimore Orioles @ Miami Marlins10:40 PM UTC · Bot 4thRafty: Miami Marlins72% lean
MLBBoston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers10:40 PM UTC · Top 4thRafty: Boston Red Sox57% lean
MLBMinnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals10:45 PM UTC · Bot 4thRafty: Minnesota Twins53% lean
NBAPhiladelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks11:00 PM UTC · 1:56 – 1stRafty: New York Knicks90% lean
NHLMontreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres11:00 PM UTC · 1:04 – 1stRafty: Buffalo Sabres76% lean
MLBTexas Rangers @ New York Yankees11:05 PM UTC · Top 3rdRafty: New York Yankees85% lean
MLBCincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs11:40 PM UTC · Top 1stRafty: Chicago Cubs81% lean
MLBCleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals11:40 PM UTC · Top 1stRafty: Kansas City Royals73% lean
Recent Calls
Rafty’s pick for each game is regenerated from each team’s pre-game record, scoring margin, expected win rate (from points-for vs. points-allowed), and recent form. Picks are saved as games finish. For entertainment and analysis only.