TB @ STL
Busch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Tampa Bay Rays 7 · St. Louis Cardinals 9
Two reasons the projection lands on St. Louis Cardinals: Tampa Bay Rays’s scoring margin profile and Tampa Bay Rays’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 77%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Tampa Bay Rays
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBurleson homered to right (432 feet), Scott II scored.7–9
- ScoreHerrera hit sacrifice fly to right, Pagés scored, Scott II to third.7–7
- ScoreChurch singled to left, Gorman scored and Walker scored.7–5
- ScoreDeLuca singled to center, Caminero scored and Simpson scored, Williamson to third.6–1
- ScoreGorman singled to center, Burleson scored and Winn scored.7–3
- ScoreSimpson singled to left, Fortes scored, Díaz to second, Williams to third.2–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 2 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 14 | 0 |
Tampa Bay Rays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .600 | .667 | .600 |
| Ryan Vilade RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Chandler Simpson LF | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .333 | .333 | .333 |
| Jonathan Aranda 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .500 | .500 | 1.250 |
| Junior Caminero 3B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 36 | .500 | .833 | .500 |
| Ben Williamson 2B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .750 | .750 | .750 |
| Richie Palacios 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jonny DeLuca RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Jake Fraley RF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
| Nick Fortes C· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .750 | .750 | .750 |
| Hunter Feduccia C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Cedric Mullins CF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Carson Williams SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .200 | .200 | .200 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen SP· | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 73-49 | 1.80 | 73 |
| Ian Seymour RP | 0.0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21-14 | INF | 21 |
| Garrett Cleavinger RP | 0.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 54.00 | 9 |
| Griffin Jax RP | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14-11 | 13.50 | 14 |
| Yoendrys Gomez RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28-19 | 0.00 | 28 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .250 | .200 | 1.000 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .750 | .800 | 1.500 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .200 | .200 | .400 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Ramon Urias 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .250 | .250 | .500 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .750 | .750 | .750 |
| Pedro Pages C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Victor Scott II CF· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .750 | .750 | .750 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore SP· | 5.0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 78-49 | 1.80 | 78 |
| Matt Svanson RP | 0.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-11 | 81.00 | 16 |
| Justin Bruihl RP | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9-4 | 54.00 | 9 |
| Chris Roycroft RP | 0.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-8 | 27.00 | 13 |
| JoJo Romero RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 0.00 | 9 |
| Riley O'Brien RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-11 | 0.00 | 17 |
| Ryne Stanek RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26-12 | 0.00 | 26 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningMullins fouled out to first.
- 5th InningCaminero singled to left.
- 7th InningCaminero struck out looking.
- 6th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 5th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningBurleson homered to right (432 feet), Scott II scored.7–9
- 6th InningHerrera hit sacrifice fly to right, Pagés scored, Scott II to third.7–7
- 6th InningChurch singled to left, Gorman scored and Walker scored.7–5
- 6th InningDeLuca singled to center, Caminero scored and Simpson scored, Williamson to third.6–1
- 6th InningGorman singled to center, Burleson scored and Winn scored.7–3
- 6th InningSimpson singled to left, Fortes scored, Díaz to second, Williams to third.2–1
- 6th InningFortes reached on infield single to shortstop, Williamson scored, DeLuca to second.7–1
- 6th InningWilliamson reached on infield single to pitcher, Díaz scored, Caminero to second, Simpson to third.4–1
- 3rd InningWetherholt homered to center (425 feet).0–1
- 6th InningWetherholt hit sacrifice fly to right, Church scored, Pagés to third.7–6
- 6th InningAranda hit sacrifice fly to center, Williams scored.3–1
- 5th InningAranda homered to right center (405 feet).1–1