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InTheRafters.com

TB @ STL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:15 PM CT51°F · 7 mph wind · clear⚾ Joe Boyle vs Michael McGreevyMLB.TVCardinals.TVRays.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

Tampa Bay Rays 5 · St. Louis Cardinals 6

Final
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

St. Louis Cardinals is the model’s call — Tampa Bay Rays on the margin numbers, Tampa Bay Rays on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 76%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

St. Louis Cardinals

Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Tampa Bay Rays
CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40
St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreWilliams singled to left, Caminero scored and Simpson scored.9th Inning3–4
  2. ScoreFortes singled to right, Williams scored, Fortes to second.9th Inning4–4
  3. ScoreBurleson hit sacrifice fly to center, Scott II scored.8th Inning0–4
  4. ScoreGorman singled to right, Burleson scored, Gorman to second.1st Inning0–2
  5. 💣 Home RunSimpson reached on infield single to second, Aranda scored on throwing error by second baseman Wetherholt, Caminero safe at third on error.9th Inning1–4
  6. 🏃 DoubleHerrera doubled to center, Walker scored, Scott II to third.8th Inning0–3

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Tampa Bay Rays0000000041571
St. Louis Cardinals2000000202662

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy Diaz 1B·1-5501100114.400.455.400
Jonny DeLuca RF0-000000000.500.500.500
Jonathan Aranda 1B·1-3311002130.429.545.857
Jake Fraley RF·0-5500000226.167.167.167
Junior Caminero 3B·1-3311001014.400.700.400
Cedric Mullins CF·0-4400000016.000.000.000
Chandler Simpson LF·2-4412000116.429.429.429
Carson Williams SS·1-4411200117.222.222.222
Richie Palacios 2B·0-220000008.000.000.000
Nick Fortes C1-2201100014.667.667.667
Hunter Feduccia C·0-220000029.000.000.000
Ben Williamson 2B0-221000005.500.500.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Joe Boyle SP·6.032204075-523.0075
Cole Sulser RP2.022112041-234.5041
Bryan Baker RP1.000002013-90.0013
Griffin Jax RP0.11211009-318.009

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·2-5512200014.333.300.667
Ivan Herrera C·1-4401100118.125.111.250
Jose Fermin LF0-000000000.000.000.000
Pedro Pages C0-000000000.250.250.250
Alec Burleson 1B·1-3311200018.571.5561.000
Masyn Winn SS·0-4400000219.111.111.222
Nolan Gorman 3B·1-4401100121.250.250.250
Ramon Urias 3B·1-4401000215.250.250.500
Nathan Church LF·0-441000016.375.375.375
Jordan Walker RF·0-2220002015.167.375.333
Victor Scott II CF·0-2210000112.500.500.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael McGreevy SP·6.000025096-570.0096
Riley O'Brien RP1.02000009-60.009
JoJo Romero RP1.000001017-120.0017
Matt Svanson RP0.223310020-1054.0020
Ryne Stanek RP1.132102027-183.8627

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningFortes grounded out to second.
  2. 8th InningWalker walked.
  3. 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 1st InningHerrera lined out to right, Wetherholt to third.
  5. 10th InningFraley struck out swinging, DeLuca caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningWilliams singled to left, Caminero scored and Simpson scored.3–4
  2. 9th InningFortes singled to right, Williams scored, Fortes to second.4–4
  3. 8th InningBurleson hit sacrifice fly to center, Scott II scored.0–4
  4. 1st InningGorman singled to right, Burleson scored, Gorman to second.0–2
  5. 9th InningSimpson reached on infield single to second, Aranda scored on throwing error by second baseman Wetherholt, Caminero safe at third on error.1–4
  6. 8th InningHerrera doubled to center, Walker scored, Scott II to third.0–3
  7. 10th InningWetherholt singled to right, Church scored and Walker scored.5–6
  8. 10th InningDíaz singled to center, Williamson scored.5–4
  9. 1st InningBurleson singled to center, Wetherholt scored.0–1

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