Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:10 PM PT⚾ Justin Verlander vs Michael SorokaMLB.TVDBACKS.TVTigers.TV
Result readArizona Diamondbacks

Detroit Tigers 6 · Arizona Diamondbacks 9

Final
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeChase FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Arizona Diamondbacks on the back of Detroit Tigers’s margin work and Detroit Tigers’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Detroit Tigers at 73%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleTorkelson doubled to left, Greene scored.7th Inning6–8
  2. 🏃 TripleCarroll tripled to right, Marte scored.1st Inning0–1
  3. ScoreLawlar walked, Arenado scored, Santana to second, Thomas to third.5th Inning0–7
  4. ScoreMoreno grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Carroll scored, Perdomo out at second.1st Inning0–2
  5. 🏃 DoubleKeith doubled to left, Torres scored and Báez scored.7th Inning4–8
  6. ScoreGreene singled to center, Keith scored.7th Inning5–8

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Detroit Tigers0000006006102
Arizona Diamondbacks230030109110

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Kerry Carpenter RF·1-5501000425.063.167.063
Gleyber Torres 2B·1-4411001122.231.474.231
Colt Keith 3B·2-5512200222.429.500.643
Riley Greene LF·2-5512100122.176.263.176
Spencer Torkelson 1B·1-5501100219.188.278.250
Kevin McGonigle SS·0-2210002015.357.471.500
Dillon Dingler C·1-3311101214.333.429.667
Parker Meadows CF·1-4401000020.222.300.333
Javier Baez SS·1-4411100215.182.250.182

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Justin Verlander SP·3.265521180-5312.2780
Enmanuel De Jesus RP1.033321038-2113.5038
Brant Hurter RP2.021100126-173.0026
Kyle Finnegan RP0.10000005-30.005
Tyler Holton RP1.000021019-70.0019

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ketel Marte 2B·1-4411101019.250.333.438
Corbin Carroll RF·2-4422411123.267.294.600
Geraldo Perdomo SS·0-4400001022.250.294.500
Gabriel Moreno C·2-4412101028.333.385.417
Nolan Arenado 3B·1-5511000019.125.125.125
Alek Thomas CF·1-5511100214.200.250.400
Carlos Santana 1B·0-3300001018.083.214.167
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·2-4422110012.500.5001.250
Jordan Lawlar LF·2-3312101013.300.364.400

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael Soroka SP·5.0400110089-600.0089
Kevin Ginkel RP1.000001013-84.5013
Joe Ross RP0.256611026-1432.4026
Ryan Thompson RP0.010020013-20.0013
Juan Morillo RP0.10000005-29.005
Taylor Clarke RP1.000001016-1027.0016
Paul Sewald RP1.000001012-80.0012

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningTorkelson doubled to left, Greene scored.6–8
  2. 7th InningPitch 5 : Ball In Play
  3. 4th InningCarroll struck out swinging.
  4. 1st InningCarroll tripled to right, Marte scored.0–1
  5. 7th InningMarte flied out to left.
  6. 7th InningGreene to third on a balk.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningTorkelson doubled to left, Greene scored.6–8
  2. 1st InningCarroll tripled to right, Marte scored.0–1
  3. 5th InningLawlar walked, Arenado scored, Santana to second, Thomas to third.0–7
  4. 1st InningMoreno grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Carroll scored, Perdomo out at second.0–2
  5. 7th InningKeith doubled to left, Torres scored and Báez scored.4–8
  6. 7th InningGreene singled to center, Keith scored.5–8
  7. 5th InningMarte grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Thomas scored, Lawlar to second, Santana to third.0–8
  8. 2nd InningCarroll homered to right center (403 feet), Vargas and Lawlar scored.0–5
  9. 7th InningVargas homered to left center (431 feet).6–9
  10. 5th InningThomas doubled to left, Moreno scored, Arenado to third.0–6
  11. 7th InningBáez singled to right, Dingler scored.2–8
  12. 7th InningDingler doubled to center, McGonigle scored.1–8

Trending