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InTheRafters.com

NYM @ STL

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM CT66°F · 4 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Kodai Senga vs Andre PallanteMLB.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

New York Mets 0 · St. Louis Cardinals 3

Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans St. Louis Cardinals because St. Louis Cardinals owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and St. Louis Cardinals has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 60%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Mets

St. Louis Cardinals

Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day

New York Mets

Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

New York Mets
CB Carson Benge LF · #3 BB Brett Baty RF · #7 BB Bo Bichette 3B · #19 RM Ronny Mauricio SS · #0 MS Marcus Semien 2B · #10 MV Mark Vientos 1B · #27 FP Freddy Peralta P · #51 FA F. Alvarez C · #4
St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreUrías homered to center (409 feet).7th Inning0–3
  2. 🏃 DoubleHerrera doubled to left, Scott II scored and Wetherholt scored.3rd Inning0–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Mets000000000030
St. Louis Cardinals00200010—360

New York Mets

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Francisco Lindor SS·0-3300001020.176.417.412
Juan Soto LF·2-4402000117.381.458.476
Bo Bichette 3B·0-3300001018.091.125.091
Luis Robert Jr. CF·0-3300001013.333.474.533
Jared Young 1B·1-4401000113.222.222.333
Mark Vientos 1B·0-220000009.333.333.333
Brett Baty RF0-220000006.250.250.350
Marcus Semien 2B·0-2200001112.125.250.188
Carson Benge LF·0-3300000111.176.263.353
Luis Torrens C·0-2200000111.333.333.333
Francisco Alvarez C0-110000007.300.462.700

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kodai Senga SP·6.042239092-563.0092
Richard Lovelady RP2.021112129-214.5029

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·2-4412000220.300.348.450
Ivan Herrera C·1-2201202111.158.227.263
Alec Burleson 1B·0-2200002015.353.455.588
Masyn Winn SS·0-4400000021.143.182.238
Nolan Gorman 3B·0-4400000212.222.222.556
Jordan Walker RF·0-4400000219.294.400.588
Nathan Church LF·0-4400000312.188.188.188
Ramon Urias 3B·1-331111017.222.222.667
Victor Scott II CF·2-331200004.438.438.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Andre Pallante SP·5.030033088-520.0088
Gordon Graceffo RP1.00000003-30.003
Ryne Stanek RP1.000011022-122.7022
JoJo Romero RP1.000001013-80.0013
Riley O'Brien RP1.000000011-70.0011

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningWinn flied out to right.
  2. 7th InningAlvarez flied out to center.
  3. 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  4. 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningUrías homered to center (409 feet).0–3
  2. 3rd InningHerrera doubled to left, Scott II scored and Wetherholt scored.0–2

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