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InTheRafters.com

TB @ MIL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Shane McClanahan vs Brandon WoodruffMLB.TVBrewers.TVRays.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Tampa Bay Rays 2 · Milwaukee Brewers 6

Final
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Milwaukee Brewers gets the model’s nod thanks to Milwaukee Brewers’s margin advantage, with Tampa Bay Rays’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 61%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Tampa Bay Rays
CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40
Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleLockridge doubled to right, Bauers scored.6th Inning2–5
  2. ScoreSánchez homered to center (414 feet).6th Inning2–4
  3. ScoreTurang singled to right, Lockridge scored on error, Sánchez scored and Ortiz scored on error, Turang safe at second on error by center fielder Mullins.5th Inning2–3
  4. ScoreBauers homered to right center (376 feet).8th Inning2–6
  5. ScoreFortes homered to left center (408 feet).5th Inning2–0
  6. ScoreAranda homered to left center (388 feet).1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Tampa Bay Rays100010000271
Milwaukee Brewers00003201—670

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Yandy Diaz 1B·0-4400000216.458.480.625
Jonathan Aranda 1B·1-4411110114.350.440.700
Junior Caminero 3B·1-3301001121.294.478.294
Jake Fraley RF·2-4402000014.300.300.400
Ben Williamson 2B·0-3300000110.313.313.313
Richie Palacios 2B0-110000003.000.000.000
Cedric Mullins CF·0-3300000212.056.053.111
Jonny DeLuca RF0-110000004.385.429.692
Nick Fortes C·1-4411110015.375.412.625
Chandler Simpson LF·2-3302000010.444.474.556
Ryan Vilade RF0-000000107.000.143.000
Carson Williams SS·0-4400000112.158.200.211

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shane McClanahan SP·4.223234079-503.8679
Cole Sulser RP1.142200131-218.1031
Yoendrys Gomez RP2.011122130-162.2530

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·1-3301201116.400.478.600
Luis Rengifo 3B·0-4400000110.154.267.154
William Contreras C·0-4400000220.211.348.474
Christian Yelich LF·0-3300001111.353.421.529
Gary Sanchez C·1-1121112018.500.6251.500
Garrett Mitchell CF0-110000016.200.385.200
Jake Bauers 1B·2-4422110013.316.316.632
Brandon Lockridge LF·2-4412100021.400.438.467
Sal Frelick RF·1-4401000010.176.364.412
Joey Ortiz SS·0-3310001015.357.438.357

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Woodruff SP·5.042206267-453.6067
Jared Koenig RP1.010001016-110.0016
Grant Anderson RP1.010001019-170.0019
Abner Uribe RP1.010010022-120.0022
Angel Zerpa RP1.000010014-80.0014

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningFortes grounded out to third.
  2. 7th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningVilade walked.
  4. 7th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 6th InningLockridge doubled to right, Bauers scored.2–5

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningLockridge doubled to right, Bauers scored.2–5
  2. 6th InningSánchez homered to center (414 feet).2–4
  3. 5th InningTurang singled to right, Lockridge scored on error, Sánchez scored and Ortiz scored on error, Turang safe at second on error by center fielder Mullins.2–3
  4. 8th InningBauers homered to right center (376 feet).2–6
  5. 5th InningFortes homered to left center (408 feet).2–0
  6. 1st InningAranda homered to left center (388 feet).1–0

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