ATH @ ATL
Truist Park · Atlanta, Georgia
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor12:15 PM ET82°F · 6 mph wind · overcast⚾ Luis Severino vs Chris SaleMLB.TVBravesVision
Result readAtlanta Braves
Athletics 1 · Atlanta Braves 5
Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeTruist ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Atlanta Braves: Atlanta Braves’s scoring margin profile and Atlanta Braves’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 80%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 4.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 80%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Athletics
Roster watch list pending.
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Injury Report
Atlanta Braves
Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
Athletics
Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleBaldwin doubled to center, Dubón scored and Smith scored.1–4
- ScoreOlson singled to right, Baldwin scored.1–5
- ScoreBaldwin singled to left, Albies scored and Smith scored, Acuña Jr. to second.0–2
- ScoreLangeliers homered to left (355 feet).1–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Atlanta Braves | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 7 | 0 |
Athletics
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .200 | .200 | .320 |
| Andy Ibanez 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .222 | .300 | .222 |
| Jeff McNeil 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .077 | .143 | .077 |
| Shea Langeliers C· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .375 | .400 | 1.000 |
| Brent Rooker RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .167 | .167 | .167 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .182 | .217 | .409 |
| Tyler Soderstrom LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .174 | .208 | .217 |
| Austin Wynns C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .200 | .200 | .200 |
| Darell Hernaiz 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Denzel Clarke CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .143 | .200 | .143 |
| Lawrence Butler RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .083 | .154 | .083 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino SP· | 3.1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 91-49 | 6.48 | 91 |
| Elvis Alvarado RP | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20-13 | 10.13 | 20 |
| Hogan Harris RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19-13 | 0.00 | 19 |
| Luis Medina RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27-17 | 0.00 | 27 |
Atlanta Braves
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .150 | .308 | .200 |
| Drake Baldwin C· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .318 | .423 | .773 |
| Matt Olson 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .261 | .292 | .348 |
| Austin Riley 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .238 | .333 | .238 |
| Mike Yastrzemski LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .294 | .333 | .471 |
| Ozzie Albies 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .273 | .333 | .409 |
| Michael Harris II CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .217 | .217 | .348 |
| Dominic Smith 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .385 | .429 | .615 |
| Mauricio Dubon SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .412 | .444 | .471 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale SP· | 6.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 79-57 | 0.75 | 79 |
| Robert Suarez RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-6 | 0.00 | 6 |
| Dylan Lee RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-13 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Raisel Iglesias RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-15 | 0.00 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th InningBaldwin doubled to center, Dubón scored and Smith scored.1–4
- 4th InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
- 9th InningButler grounded out to pitcher.
- 4th InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 1st InningBaldwin walked.
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
- 4th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningBaldwin doubled to center, Dubón scored and Smith scored.1–4
- 4th InningOlson singled to right, Baldwin scored.1–5
- 2nd InningBaldwin singled to left, Albies scored and Smith scored, Acuña Jr. to second.0–2
- 4th InningLangeliers homered to left (355 feet).1–2