TB @ MIL
American Family Field · Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor12:40 PM CT⚾ Drew Rasmussen vs Jacob MisiorowskiMLB.TVBrewers.TVRays.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays 2 · Milwaukee Brewers 8
Final
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Milwaukee Brewers on the back of Milwaukee Brewers’s margin work and Tampa Bay Rays’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 59%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 6.
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 59%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Milwaukee Brewers
- Jacob Misiorowski SP · #32
- Kyle Harrison SP · #52
- Aaron Ashby RP · #26
- DL Hall RP · #37
Injury Report
Milwaukee Brewers
J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
Tampa Bay Rays
Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScorePerkins grounded out to first, Bauers scored, Mitchell to third.2–7
- 🏃 DoubleMitchell doubled to right, Contreras scored and Yelich scored, Bauers to third.2–6
- ScoreTurang homered to center (392 feet), Hamilton scored.2–2
- ScoreHamilton singled to center, Mitchell scored.2–8
- ScoreDíaz homered to right (364 feet), Palacios scored.2–0
- ScoreYelich singled to right, Ortiz scored and Turang scored, Contreras to second.2–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | — | 8 | 9 | 0 |
Tampa Bay Rays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .429 | .448 | .679 |
| Jonathan Aranda 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .304 | .414 | .609 |
| Carson Williams SS | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .158 | .200 | .211 |
| Jake Fraley RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .308 | .308 | .462 |
| Jonny DeLuca RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .357 | .400 | .643 |
| Junior Caminero 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .238 | .407 | .238 |
| Cedric Mullins CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .048 | .087 | .095 |
| Nick Fortes C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .350 | .381 | .550 |
| Chandler Simpson LF· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .476 | .522 | .571 |
| Ben Williamson 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Richie Palacios 2B· | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .000 | .200 | .000 |
| Ryan Vilade RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .000 | .125 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen SP· | 5.0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 89-60 | 1.80 | 89 |
| Ian Seymour RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 32-22 | 16.88 | 32 |
| Griffin Jax RP | 0.0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20-12 | 22.50 | 20 |
| Mason Englert RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-10 | 18.00 | 13 |
Milwaukee Brewers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .409 | .500 | .727 |
| William Contreras C· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .261 | .370 | .478 |
| Christian Yelich LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .381 | .435 | .524 |
| Jake Bauers 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .273 | .304 | .545 |
| Garrett Mitchell CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .286 | .412 | .357 |
| Sal Frelick RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .143 | .308 | .333 |
| Blake Perkins LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .111 | .200 | .222 |
| David Hamilton 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .167 | .375 | .167 |
| Joey Ortiz SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .333 | .400 | .333 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 94-62 | 2.45 | 94 |
| Grant Anderson RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-10 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Aaron Ashby RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9-5 | 1.59 | 9 |
| DL Hall RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19-12 | 0.00 | 19 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningOrtiz singled to center.
- 2nd InningFortes singled to right.
- 8th InningPitch 5 : Ball In Play
- 7th InningFrelick flied out to center.
- 7th InningPalacios popped out to first.
- 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningPerkins grounded out to first, Bauers scored, Mitchell to third.2–7
- 8th InningMitchell doubled to right, Contreras scored and Yelich scored, Bauers to third.2–6
- 3rd InningTurang homered to center (392 feet), Hamilton scored.2–2
- 8th InningHamilton singled to center, Mitchell scored.2–8
- 3rd InningDíaz homered to right (364 feet), Palacios scored.2–0
- 8th InningYelich singled to right, Ortiz scored and Turang scored, Contreras to second.2–4