NYM @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM PT58°F · 6 mph wind · clear⚾ David Peterson vs Robbie RayMLB.TV
Result readSan Francisco Giants
New York Mets 2 · San Francisco Giants 7
Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on San Francisco Giants: New York Mets’s scoring margin profile and New York Mets’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 84%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 5.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 84%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreVientos homered to left (406 feet).2–3
- 🏃 DoubleBichette doubled to left, Soto scored.1–0
- ScoreDevers homered to center (404 feet).2–7
- ScoreSchmitt singled to left, Lee scored, Susac to third.2–6
- ScoreLee hit sacrifice fly to center, Ramos scored, Arraez to third.2–4
- 🏃 TripleArraez tripled to right, Ramos scored.1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| San Francisco Giants | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 13 | 0 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | .130 | .394 | .304 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .333 | .394 | .500 |
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .129 | .152 | .161 |
| Jorge Polanco 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .174 | .321 | .261 |
| Luis Robert Jr. CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | .273 | .429 | .409 |
| Mark Vientos 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | .333 | .333 | .778 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .130 | .250 | .174 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .250 | .368 | .500 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson SP· | 4.1 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 68-46 | 4.66 | 68 |
| Sean Manaea RP | 3.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 74-44 | 1.80 | 74 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | .214 | .241 | .357 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .259 | .333 | .407 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .185 | .241 | .222 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .321 | .333 | .429 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .222 | .300 | .370 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .174 | .286 | .304 |
| Harrison Bader CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .160 | .185 | .320 |
| Daniel Susac C· | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .273 | .360 | .318 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray SP· | 5.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 96-60 | 3.38 | 96 |
| Ryan Walker RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 6.00 | 12 |
| Blade Tidwell RP | 3.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 37-24 | 0.00 | 37 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningAdames walked, Schmitt to second, Susac to third.
- 6th InningArraez lined out to left.
- 4th InningVientos struck out swinging.
- 8th InningArraez flied out to left.
Scoring Plays
- 2nd InningVientos homered to left (406 feet).2–3
- 1st InningBichette doubled to left, Soto scored.1–0
- 6th InningDevers homered to center (404 feet).2–7
- 5th InningSchmitt singled to left, Lee scored, Susac to third.2–6
- 3rd InningLee hit sacrifice fly to center, Ramos scored, Arraez to third.2–4
- 1st InningArraez tripled to right, Ramos scored.1–1
- 3rd InningBader hit sacrifice fly to center, Arraez scored.2–5
- 1st InningChapman doubled to right, Arraez scored.1–2
- 1st InningChapman scored on error, Lee safe at first on error by pitcher Peterson.1–3