NYM @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM PT56°F · 4 mph wind · overcast⚾ Nolan McLean vs Tyler MahleMLB.TV
Result readNew York Mets
New York Mets 10 · San Francisco Giants 3
Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
New York Mets gets the model’s nod thanks to New York Mets’s margin advantage, with New York Mets’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 76%. Actual: New York Mets by 7.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 76%. Actual: New York Mets by 7.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreAlvarez homered to left (401 feet).6–2
- ScoreBenge grounded into fielder's choice to second, Baty scored, Semien out at second.10–3
- ScoreAdames hit a ground rule double, Bader scored, Bailey to third.5–1
- 🏃 DoubleBaty doubled to left, Robert Jr. scored.9–3
- ScoreSemien homered to center (407 feet), Vientos scored.4–0
- ScoreVientos singled to right, Bichette scored, Robert Jr. to second.8–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | .185 | .421 | .333 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .355 | .412 | .516 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .194 | .211 | .250 |
| Luis Robert Jr. CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | .280 | .455 | .400 |
| Brett Baty RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | .214 | .214 | .321 |
| Mark Vientos 1B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | .417 | .500 | .750 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .214 | .303 | .357 |
| Carson Benge LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .130 | .231 | .261 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .286 | .375 | .762 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan McLean SP· | 5.1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 93-51 | 2.61 | 93 |
| Brooks Raley RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-10 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Huascar Brazoban RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24-16 | 0.00 | 24 |
| Richard Lovelady RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28-17 | 5.40 | 28 |
| Luis Garcia RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-10 | 6.00 | 14 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .226 | .273 | .387 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | .226 | .294 | .355 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .313 | .324 | .406 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .194 | .265 | .323 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | .148 | .250 | .259 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .226 | .273 | .258 |
| Harrison Bader CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .143 | .194 | .286 |
| Patrick Bailey C· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .095 | .208 | .095 |
| Jerar Encarnacion RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .250 | .250 | .500 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle SP· | 5.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 91-58 | 7.00 | 91 |
| JT Brubaker RP | 1.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 38-24 | 4.76 | 38 |
| Matt Gage RP | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 37-23 | 0.00 | 37 |
| Erik Miller RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26-13 | 7.71 | 26 |
| Caleb Kilian RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5-3 | 0.00 | 5 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningArraez grounded out to first.
- 8th InningEncarnacion doubled to right.
- 8th InningBenge walked.
- 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 6th InningDevers struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningAlvarez homered to left (401 feet).6–2
- 9th InningBenge grounded into fielder's choice to second, Baty scored, Semien out at second.10–3
- 6th InningAdames hit a ground rule double, Bader scored, Bailey to third.5–1
- 9th InningBaty doubled to left, Robert Jr. scored.9–3
- 4th InningSemien homered to center (407 feet), Vientos scored.4–0
- 7th InningVientos singled to right, Bichette scored, Robert Jr. to second.8–2
- 7th InningRobert Jr. singled to center, Lindor scored, Bichette to third.7–2
- 8th InningArraez singled to center, Encarnacion scored, Adames to third.8–3
- 6th InningBailey scored on a passed ball by Alvarez, Adames to third on passed ball by Alvarez.5–2
- 1st InningSemien singled to left, Bichette scored, Vientos to second, Robert Jr. to third.2–0
- 6th InningBailey scored on a passed ball by Alvarez, Adames to third on passed ball by Alvarez.5–2
- 4th InningAlvarez homered to center (415 feet).5–0
- 1st InningBichette singled to center, Lindor scored, Soto to third.1–0