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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:38 PM PT66°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Bryan Woo vs Reid DetmersMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners 3 · Los Angeles Angels 1

Final
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Seattle Mariners: Seattle Mariners’s scoring margin profile and Los Angeles Angels’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 68%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Angels

Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL

Seattle Mariners

Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreNaylor singled to right, Young scored and Rodríguez scored.10th Inning3–0
  2. 🏃 TripleYoung tripled to right, Raley scored.10th Inning1–0
  3. ScoreSoler hit sacrifice fly to right, Trout scored.10th Inning3–1

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Seattle Mariners0000000003370
Los Angeles Angels0000000001110

Seattle Mariners

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Rob Refsnyder RF·0-3300002021.000.154.000
Cal Raleigh C·0-4400001127.138.242.172
Julio Rodriguez CF·1-4411001115.100.229.100
Josh Naylor 1B·2-5502200012.094.171.094
Randy Arozarena LF·2-4402001017.286.429.393
Brendan Donovan 3B·0-3300000014.370.485.667
Leo Rivas 3B0-2200000114.160.222.240
J.P. Crawford SS·0-3300001215.000.250.000
Victor Robles RF·1-3301000011.231.231.308
Luke Raley RF0-111000006.263.300.737
Cole Young 2B·1-4411100216.310.333.552

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Bryan Woo SP·7.010016087-571.3887
Matt Brash RP1.000002012-100.0012
Andres Munoz RP1.000003016-116.0016
Gabe Speier RP1.001001012-85.4012

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·0-4400000114.200.351.433
Mike Trout CF·0-2210001111.240.486.480
Nolan Schanuel 1B·0-4400000112.241.333.448
Jorge Soler RF·0-3300100111.133.250.267
Yoan Moncada 3B·0-4400000319.120.290.240
Jo Adell RF·0-3300000215.233.281.233
Josh Lowe LF·0-3300000215.083.154.250
Logan O'Hoppe C·0-3300000013.200.273.200
Oswald Peraza 2B·1-3301000117.292.346.458

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Reid Detmers SP·6.2300440104-642.38104
Chase Silseth RP0.10000105-40.005
Drew Pomeranz RP1.010010017-106.2317
Jordan Romano RP1.000002016-110.0016
Brent Suter RP1.033210026-203.6026

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningPeraza struck out swinging.
  2. 3rd InningPeraza reached on infield single to second.
  3. 10th InningRivas grounded out to third.
  4. 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 10th InningNaylor singled to right, Young scored and Rodríguez scored.3–0
  2. 10th InningYoung tripled to right, Raley scored.1–0
  3. 10th InningSoler hit sacrifice fly to right, Trout scored.3–1

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