STL @ DET
Comerica Park · Detroit, Michigan
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM ET66°F · 10 mph wind · overcast⚾ Michael McGreevy vs Framber ValdezMLB.TVCardinals.TVTigers.TV
Result readDetroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals 0 · Detroit Tigers 4
Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Detroit Tigers on the back of Detroit Tigers’s margin work and St. Louis Cardinals’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 62%. Actual: Detroit Tigers by 4.
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 62%. Actual: Detroit Tigers by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Detroit Tigers
- Framber Valdez SP · #59
- Jack Flaherty SP · #9
- Riley Greene LF · #31
- Kevin McGonigle SS · #7
Injury Report
Detroit Tigers
Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBáez singled to left, Meadows scored.0–4
- ScoreDingler homered to left center (433 feet), Greene scored.0–2
- ScoreGreene singled to center, Torres scored, Carpenter to third.0–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 10 | 1 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .179 | .233 | .250 |
| Nathan Church LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .158 | .158 | .158 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .200 | .323 | .280 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .280 | .387 | .440 |
| Ramon Urias 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .167 | .167 | .500 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .227 | .261 | .500 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .217 | .308 | .435 |
| Yohel Pozo C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Thomas Saggese LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .200 | .333 | .200 |
| Jose Fermin LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| JJ Wetherholt 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .259 | .300 | .370 |
| Victor Scott II CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .333 | .333 | .375 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McGreevy SP· | 4.2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 75-45 | 2.53 | 75 |
| Justin Bruihl RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-11 | 4.50 | 15 |
| George Soriano RP | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-8 | 2.45 | 16 |
| Gordon Graceffo RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16-7 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Chris Roycroft RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 10.13 | 11 |
Detroit Tigers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin McGonigle SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .346 | .414 | .538 |
| Gleyber Torres 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .217 | .419 | .217 |
| Kerry Carpenter RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .160 | .276 | .160 |
| Riley Greene LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .241 | .290 | .345 |
| Dillon Dingler C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .300 | .364 | .650 |
| Zach McKinstry 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .167 | .167 | .167 |
| Spencer Torkelson 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .125 | .192 | .167 |
| Parker Meadows CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .167 | .250 | .222 |
| Javier Baez SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .235 | .278 | .235 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 91-61 | 0.75 | 91 |
| Will Vest RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-13 | 9.00 | 17 |
| Kyle Finnegan RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16-10 | 0.00 | 16 |
| Tyler Holton RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-5 | 0.00 | 7 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningTorres walked.
- 7th InningPitch 5 : Ball 4
- 5th InningScott II grounded out to first.
- 2nd InningUrías struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningBáez singled to left, Meadows scored.0–4
- 4th InningDingler homered to left center (433 feet), Greene scored.0–2
- 5th InningGreene singled to center, Torres scored, Carpenter to third.0–3