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InTheRafters.com

MIL @ KC

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM CT⚾ Brandon Sproat vs Seth LugoMLB.TVBrewers.TVRoyals.TV
Result readKansas City Royals

Milwaukee Brewers 2 · Kansas City Royals 8

Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Kansas City Royals is the model’s call — Milwaukee Brewers on the margin numbers, Milwaukee Brewers on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 91%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24
Kansas City Royals
IC Isaac Collins LF · #1 KI Kyle Isbel CF · #28 JC Jac Caglianone RF · #14 MG Maikel Garcia 3B · #11 BW Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7 MM Michael Massey 2B · #19 VP V. Pasquantino 1B · #9 CR Cole Ragans P · #55 SP Salvador Perez C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreIsbel singled to center, Jensen scored, Collins to second.6th Inning2–5
  2. 🏃 TripleTurang tripled to left, Hamilton scored.3rd Inning1–2
  3. ScoreCollins singled to center, India scored, Jensen to second.6th Inning2–4
  4. 🏃 DoubleMitchell doubled to right, Turang scored.3rd Inning2–2
  5. ScoreGarcia scored on Koenig wild pitch, Pasquantino to second on wild pitch by Koenig, Witt Jr. to third on wild pitch by Koenig.6th Inning2–8
  6. ScoreGarcia scored on Koenig wild pitch, Pasquantino to second on wild pitch by Koenig, Witt Jr. to third on wild pitch by Koenig.6th Inning2–8

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers002000000251
Kansas City Royals02000600—8101

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brice Turang 2B·1-4411100215.333.429.633
Garrett Mitchell CF·1-4401100120.318.400.591
Christian Yelich LF·0-3300000015.345.387.448
Luis Matos RF0-000000104.0001.000.000
Jake Bauers 1B·0-4400000113.207.258.414
Gary Sanchez C·0-4400000216.300.417.900
Sal Frelick RF·1-220100015.192.344.346
Brandon Lockridge LF0-220000009.333.364.381
David Hamilton 3B·1-3311001125.235.458.235
Blake Perkins LF·0-3300001220.083.214.167
Joey Ortiz SS·1-4401000217.318.375.318

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Logan Henderson SP·2.032213035-239.0035
Brandon Sproat SP3.244434170-3914.8570
Jared Koenig RP0.122020017-90.0017
DL Hall RP2.010012038-220.0038

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·3-5513100016.321.429.393
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·0-4400001318.241.324.241
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·0-4400001123.172.286.207
Salvador Perez C·1-2221112013.200.273.433
Jac Caglianone RF·0-3300001120.333.429.417
Jonathan India 2B·2-4422000115.217.250.348
Carter Jensen C·2-3312201016.200.261.400
Isaac Collins LF·1-3311101122.227.370.409
Kyle Isbel CF·1-3311100217.478.478.783

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Seth Lugo SP·5.0422270103-691.59103
Nick Mears RP1.000000014-80.0014
Eli Morgan RP3.010015042-270.0042

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningHamilton walked.
  2. 4th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  3. 8th InningPasquantino popped out to third.
  4. 4th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 3rd InningPerkins struck out swinging.
  6. 1st InningYelich grounded out to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningIsbel singled to center, Jensen scored, Collins to second.2–5
  2. 3rd InningTurang tripled to left, Hamilton scored.1–2
  3. 6th InningCollins singled to center, India scored, Jensen to second.2–4
  4. 3rd InningMitchell doubled to right, Turang scored.2–2
  5. 6th InningGarcia scored on Koenig wild pitch, Pasquantino to second on wild pitch by Koenig, Witt Jr. to third on wild pitch by Koenig.2–8
  6. 6th InningGarcia scored on Koenig wild pitch, Pasquantino to second on wild pitch by Koenig, Witt Jr. to third on wild pitch by Koenig.2–8
  7. 6th InningGarcia doubled to left, Collins scored, Isbel to third.2–6
  8. 2nd InningJensen doubled to right, India scored and Perez scored.0–2
  9. 6th InningIsbel scored, Pasquantino safe at first on fielding error by first baseman Bauers, Witt Jr. to second, Garcia to third.2–7
  10. 6th InningPerez homered to center (417 feet).2–3

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