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InTheRafters.com

STL @ DET

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:20 PM ET38°F · 7 mph wind · clear⚾ Kyle Leahy vs Keider MonteroPeacock
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals 5 · Detroit Tigers 3

Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Detroit Tigers19-22+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeComerica ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

St. Louis Cardinals gets the model’s nod thanks to Detroit Tigers’s margin advantage, with St. Louis Cardinals’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 56%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

Detroit Tigers

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

Connor Seabold15-Day-ILFramber ValdezsuspensionWill Vest15-Day-ILGleyber Torres10-Day-ILCasey Mize15-Day-IL

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48
Detroit Tigers
RG Riley Greene LF · #31 MV Matt Vierling CF · #8 KC K. Carpenter RF · #30 CK Colt Keith 3B · #33 KM K. McGonigle SS · #7 GT Gleyber Torres 2B · #25 ST S. Torkelson 1B · #20 FV Framber Valdez P · #59 DD Dillon Dingler C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreGorman hit sacrifice fly to left, Wetherholt scored.8th Inning5–3
  2. ScoreHerrera singled to right, Pagés scored and Scott II scored.5th Inning4–2
  3. 💣 Home RunScott II hit sacrifice bunt, Church scored, Scott II to first on throwing error by pitcher De Jesús, Scott II to second, Pagés to third.5th Inning2–2
  4. ScorePagés singled to left, Gorman scored, Church to third.5th Inning1–2
  5. ScoreBáez hit sacrifice fly to right, Dingler scored.6th Inning4–3
  6. ScoreCarpenter homered to center (425 feet), Keith scored.3rd Inning0–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
St. Louis Cardinals000040010560
Detroit Tigers002001000361

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·1-4411000122.273.359.364
Ivan Herrera C·1-3301201114.226.375.323
Alec Burleson 1B·0-4400000011.242.350.394
Jordan Walker RF·1-3301001216.300.382.567
Nolan Gorman 3B·1-3311100019.207.250.414
Ramon Urias 3B0-000000000.167.231.500
Thomas Saggese LF·0-3300001114.118.250.118
Nathan Church LF·0-4410000114.115.148.115
Pedro Pages C·1-4411100112.200.273.350
Victor Scott II CF·1-3311100010.310.310.345

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Leahy SP·5.052234197-545.4097
George Soriano RP0.111120019-104.5019
JoJo Romero RP1.200011019-100.0019
Ryne Stanek RP1.000012023-141.8023
Riley O'Brien RP1.000001013-70.0013

Detroit Tigers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Colt Keith 3B·1-3311000111.407.448.556
Jahmai Jones RF0-220000019.000.000.000
Kevin McGonigle SS·0-3300002120.303.410.455
Gleyber Torres 2B·0-5500000221.219.390.313
Kerry Carpenter RF·1-2211211113.194.297.387
Matt Vierling CF0-220000007.167.154.417
Riley Greene LF·1-4401000119.229.308.314
Dillon Dingler C·0-3310001015.240.367.520
Parker Meadows CF·2-4402000019.280.357.400
Spencer Torkelson 1B·1-1101003027.172.294.241
Javier Baez SS·0-3300100110.200.227.200

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Keider Montero SP·4.133213063-404.1563
Enmanuel De Jesus RP2.222103038-277.7138
Connor Seabold RP2.010021031-160.0031

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningTorkelson walked.
  2. 8th InningMeadows flied out to shortstop.
  3. 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
  4. 1st InningWetherholt struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningGorman hit sacrifice fly to left, Wetherholt scored.5–3
  2. 5th InningHerrera singled to right, Pagés scored and Scott II scored.4–2
  3. 5th InningScott II hit sacrifice bunt, Church scored, Scott II to first on throwing error by pitcher De Jesús, Scott II to second, Pagés to third.2–2
  4. 5th InningPagés singled to left, Gorman scored, Church to third.1–2
  5. 6th InningBáez hit sacrifice fly to right, Dingler scored.4–3
  6. 3rd InningCarpenter homered to center (425 feet), Keith scored.0–2

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