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In The Rafters

CIN @ MIA

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM ET⚾ Brandon Williamson vs Janson JunkMLB.TVReds.TVMarlins.TV
Result readCincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds 2 · Miami Marlins 0

Final
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Cincinnati Reds on the back of Miami Marlins’s margin work and Miami Marlins’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 76%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

Miami Marlins

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut

Cincinnati Reds

Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Cincinnati Reds
SS Spencer Steer LF · #7 TF TJ Friedl CF · #29 WB Will Benson RF · #30 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · #3 EC E. Cruz SS · #44 MM Matt McLain 2B · #9 SS Sal Stewart 1B · #27 AA Andrew Abbott P · #41 TS T. Stephenson C · #37
Miami Marlins
KS Kyle Stowers LF · #28 JM Jakob Marsee CF · #87 OC Owen Caissie RF · #17 GP Graham Pauley 3B · #21 OL Otto Lopez SS · #6 XE Xavier Edwards 2B · #9 CN Connor Norby 1B · #1 EP Eury Perez P · #39 LH Liam Hicks C · #34

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreStephenson homered to left (376 feet).8th Inning2–0
  2. ScoreStewart singled to center, De La Cruz scored.4th Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cincinnati Reds000100010270
Miami Marlins000000000031

Cincinnati Reds

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
TJ Friedl CF·2-4402000117.147.293.147
Matt McLain 2B·0-3300001112.216.356.243
Elly De La Cruz SS·2-4412000015.268.318.512
Sal Stewart 1B·1-4401100010.353.476.618
Eugenio Suarez 3B·0-440000007.211.250.368
Spencer Steer LF·0-330000018.188.229.344
Dane Myers CF0-000000104.267.313.267
Will Benson RF·1-4401000117.238.273.381
Tyler Stephenson C·1-3311110012.167.200.417
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B·0-330000008.115.179.115

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Williamson SP·6.230014093-594.7693
Brock Burke RP0.10000106-40.006
Tony Santillan RP1.000011015-90.0015
Emilio Pagan RP1.000000013-87.1113

Miami Marlins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Austin Slater LF·0-3300000212.133.176.133
Owen Caissie RF0-000000107.296.355.593
Agustin Ramirez C·1-3301001115.233.395.333
Jakob Marsee CF·0-4400000113.105.205.184
Otto Lopez SS·2-4402000023.351.415.514
Heriberto Hernandez LF·0-4400000116.111.226.185
Connor Norby 1B·0-330000009.148.303.222
Xavier Edwards 2B·0-3300000116.432.462.595
Leo Jimenez 2B·0-220000006.286.286.286
Liam Hicks C0-110000001.320.400.720
Javier Sanoja 3B·0-330000009.375.375.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Janson Junk SP·7.172213187-573.0987
Tyler Phillips RP1.200011023-110.0023

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningHernández grounded out to shortstop.
  2. 8th InningCaissie walked.
  3. 8th InningDe La Cruz grounded out to shortstop.
  4. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningStephenson homered to left (376 feet).2–0
  2. 4th InningStewart singled to center, De La Cruz scored.1–0

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