PHI @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM PT⚾ Andrew Painter vs Adrian HouserMLB.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies 6 · San Francisco Giants 4
Final
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans Philadelphia Phillies because Philadelphia Phillies owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Philadelphia Phillies has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 87%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 2.
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 87%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreArraez hit sacrifice fly to right, Bader scored.0–4
- 🏃 DoubleBohm doubled to right, Schwarber scored, Harper to third.5–4
- ScoreMarsh hit sacrifice fly to left, Harper scored.6–4
- ScoreHarper singled to right, Crawford scored and Turner scored, Schwarber to second.4–4
- ScoreRamos singled to center, Chapman scored.0–3
- 🏃 DoubleHarper doubled to right, Crawford scored, Schwarber to third.2–4
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .279 | .326 | .372 |
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | .171 | .370 | .486 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .200 | .273 | .425 |
| Alec Bohm 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .205 | .295 | .308 |
| Bryson Stott 2B· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .188 | .235 | .219 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .270 | .317 | .486 |
| Brandon Marsh LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .297 | .325 | .459 |
| J.T. Realmuto C· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .240 | .406 | .400 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .355 | .394 | .419 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Painter SP· | 4.0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 90-53 | 4.82 | 90 |
| Tim Mayza RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-6 | 0.00 | 9 |
| Jonathan Bowlan RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15-8 | 6.75 | 15 |
| Jose Alvarado RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22-14 | 9.82 | 22 |
| Brad Keller RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-13 | 5.40 | 20 |
| Jhoan Duran RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-9 | 1.59 | 16 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | .214 | .283 | .381 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .295 | .298 | .364 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .262 | .326 | .429 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .190 | .261 | .286 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .209 | .244 | .233 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .162 | .256 | .243 |
| Jerar Encarnacion RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | .286 | .286 | .357 |
| Harrison Bader CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .132 | .171 | .237 |
| Patrick Bailey C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .129 | .206 | .129 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser SP· | 6.0 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 89-60 | 3.97 | 89 |
| Ryan Borucki RP | 0.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12-6 | 9.00 | 12 |
| Caleb Kilian RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17-8 | 0.00 | 17 |
| Matt Gage RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15-7 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Blade Tidwell RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19-9 | 0.00 | 19 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningAdames flied out to center.
- 7th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
- 4th InningEncarnacion grounded out to shortstop.
- 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball 3
- 4th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
- 9th InningMarsh struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningArraez hit sacrifice fly to right, Bader scored.0–4
- 7th InningBohm doubled to right, Schwarber scored, Harper to third.5–4
- 7th InningMarsh hit sacrifice fly to left, Harper scored.6–4
- 7th InningHarper singled to right, Crawford scored and Turner scored, Schwarber to second.4–4
- 3rd InningRamos singled to center, Chapman scored.0–3
- 5th InningHarper doubled to right, Crawford scored, Schwarber to third.2–4
- 5th InningTurner grounded out to second, Realmuto scored, Crawford to third.1–4
- 3rd InningChapman tripled to center, Adames scored and Arraez scored.0–2