PHI @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:45 PM PT65°F · clear⚾ Cristopher Sanchez vs Robbie RayMLB.TVNBC Sports BA +
Result readSan Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies 0 · San Francisco Giants 6
Final
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on San Francisco Giants: Philadelphia Phillies’s scoring margin profile and Philadelphia Phillies’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 90%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 6.
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 90%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreLee hit sacrifice fly to center, Devers scored, Schmitt to third.0–4
- 🏃 TripleSusac tripled to right, Ramos scored and Schmitt scored.0–6
- ScoreArraez singled to center, Chapman scored.0–3
- 🏃 DoubleChapman doubled to left, Susac scored.0–2
- ScoreArraez grounded out to pitcher, Adames scored, Chapman to second.0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| San Francisco Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | — | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .277 | .320 | .362 |
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .179 | .360 | .462 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | .214 | .313 | .429 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .244 | .289 | .439 |
| Edmundo Sosa 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .167 | .286 | .250 |
| J.T. Realmuto C· | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .406 | .400 |
| Rafael Marchan C | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .091 | .167 | .364 |
| Otto Kemp LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .091 | .167 | .091 |
| Dylan Moore CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .000 | .333 | .000 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .324 | .361 | .382 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez SP· | 5.0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 92-68 | 1.65 | 92 |
| Zach Pop RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-7 | 3.60 | 13 |
| Tanner Banks RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-12 | 1.93 | 18 |
| Orion Kerkering RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26-17 | 18.00 | 26 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .239 | .300 | .435 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .304 | .360 | .478 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .292 | .294 | .354 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .213 | .245 | .234 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .196 | .260 | .283 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .280 | .379 | .360 |
| Jerar Encarnacion RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .313 | .313 | .375 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .158 | .244 | .237 |
| Daniel Susac C· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .857 | .875 | 1.143 |
| Jared Oliva CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Harrison Bader CF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .125 | .163 | .225 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray SP· | 6.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 109-69 | 2.08 | 109 |
| Ryan Walker RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25-15 | 4.15 | 25 |
| Keaton Winn RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-7 | 5.06 | 11 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th InningSosa lined out to center.
- 7th InningAdames grounded out to shortstop.
- 7th InningCrawford grounded out to pitcher.
- 4th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
- 7th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningLee hit sacrifice fly to center, Devers scored, Schmitt to third.0–4
- 8th InningSusac tripled to right, Ramos scored and Schmitt scored.0–6
- 5th InningArraez singled to center, Chapman scored.0–3
- 5th InningChapman doubled to left, Susac scored.0–2
- 1st InningArraez grounded out to pitcher, Adames scored, Chapman to second.0–1