ATL @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:07 PM PT67°F · 4 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Grant Holmes vs Reid DetmersMLB.TVBravesVision
Result readAtlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves 8 · Los Angeles Angels 2
Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Atlanta Braves: Atlanta Braves’s scoring margin profile and Atlanta Braves’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 96%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 6.
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 96%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Atlanta Braves
- Bryce Elder SP · #55
- Grant Holmes SP · #66
- Austin Riley 3B · #27
- Drake Baldwin C · #30
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
Atlanta Braves
Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBaldwin singled to center, Harris II scored.8–2
- 🏃 DoubleDubón doubled to left, Riley scored and Albies scored.7–2
- ScoreOlson homered to center (399 feet), Baldwin scored.4–2
- ScoreO'Hoppe walked, Moncada scored, Lowe to second, Adell to third.2–2
- ScoreHeim hit a ground rule double, Riley scored.2–0
- 💣 Home RunRiley scored on error, Dubón safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Neto, Dubón safe at second on error.5–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Atlanta Braves
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | .204 | .310 | .265 |
| Drake Baldwin C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | .321 | .390 | .623 |
| Ozzie Albies 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .275 | .321 | .451 |
| Matt Olson 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .280 | .368 | .580 |
| Austin Riley 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | .200 | .308 | .244 |
| Mauricio Dubon SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .333 | .362 | .556 |
| Mike Yastrzemski LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .211 | .318 | .316 |
| Jonah Heim C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .133 | .278 | .200 |
| Michael Harris II CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .213 | .245 | .298 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes SP· | 6.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 99-62 | 2.55 | 99 |
| Joel Payamps RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-4 | 3.38 | 7 |
| Jose Suarez RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 24-17 | 6.35 | 24 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .231 | .333 | .500 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .190 | .382 | .357 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .222 | .294 | .400 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .222 | .333 | .444 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .083 | .267 | .167 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .320 | .346 | .380 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .091 | .211 | .212 |
| Jeimer Candelario 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .111 | .200 | .222 |
| Logan O'Hoppe C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .219 | .333 | .219 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .216 | .256 | .351 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers SP· | 4.1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 92-60 | 4.60 | 92 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn RP | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 42-21 | 5.68 | 42 |
| Sam Bachman RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15-10 | 1.35 | 15 |
| Brent Suter RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 32-19 | 2.89 | 32 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 4th InningAcuña Jr. walked.
- 9th InningCandelario grounded into double play, second to first, Adell out at second.
- 7th InningTrout struck out swinging.
- 6th InningBaldwin singled to center, Harris II scored.8–2
- 4th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningBaldwin singled to center, Harris II scored.8–2
- 5th InningDubón doubled to left, Riley scored and Albies scored.7–2
- 3rd InningOlson homered to center (399 feet), Baldwin scored.4–2
- 2nd InningO'Hoppe walked, Moncada scored, Lowe to second, Adell to third.2–2
- 2nd InningHeim hit a ground rule double, Riley scored.2–0
- 3rd InningRiley scored on error, Dubón safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Neto, Dubón safe at second on error.5–2
- 2nd InningSoler homered to left center (402 feet).2–1
- 1st InningAlbies hit sacrifice fly to center, Acuña Jr. scored.1–0