CIN @ MIA
loanDepot park · Miami, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor6:40 PM ET⚾ Brady Singer vs Eury PerezMLB.TVReds.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds 4 · Miami Marlins 7
Final
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Miami Marlins gets the model’s nod thanks to Miami Marlins’s margin advantage, with Miami Marlins’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 74%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 3.
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 74%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cincinnati Reds
- Andrew Abbott SP · #41
- Brady Singer SP · #51
- Elly De La Cruz SS · #44
- Matt McLain 2B · #9
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut
Cincinnati Reds
Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreDe La Cruz scored on error, Stewart safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Pauley.1–0
- ScoreEdwards singled to left, Marsee scored.2–4
- ScoreHicks singled to right, Ramírez scored.2–2
- 🏃 DoubleRamírez doubled to left, Edwards scored.2–1
- ScoreStewart homered to left (381 feet), McLain scored.4–6
- 🏃 DoubleSuárez doubled to right, Stewart scored.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| Miami Marlins | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 7 | 12 | 1 |
Cincinnati Reds
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl CF· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | .186 | .314 | .186 |
| Matt McLain 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .217 | .345 | .283 |
| Elly De La Cruz SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .234 | .321 | .447 |
| Sal Stewart 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .366 | .471 | .683 |
| Eugenio Suarez 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .222 | .271 | .378 |
| Will Benson RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .192 | .222 | .308 |
| Tyler Stephenson C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .167 | .242 | .367 |
| Noelvi Marte RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .150 | .227 | .150 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .097 | .152 | .097 |
| Nathaniel Lowe 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .273 | .273 | .364 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer SP· | 2.2 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 73-48 | 7.71 | 73 |
| Sam Moll RP | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28-18 | 0.00 | 28 |
| Connor Phillips RP | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 39-22 | 3.86 | 39 |
| Pierce Johnson RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-7 | 5.40 | 10 |
Miami Marlins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Marsee CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .174 | .278 | .239 |
| Xavier Edwards 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .400 | .438 | .533 |
| Agustin Ramirez C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .231 | .362 | .359 |
| Liam Hicks C· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .323 | .389 | .645 |
| Connor Norby 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .206 | .357 | .353 |
| Owen Caissie RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .267 | .343 | .533 |
| Griffin Conine LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .300 | .391 | .650 |
| Leo Jimenez 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .273 | .333 | .273 |
| Javier Sanoja 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .357 | .379 | .464 |
| Graham Pauley 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .190 | .190 | .333 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eury Perez SP· | 5.0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 95-63 | 5.06 | 95 |
| Ryan Gusto SP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 0.00 | 12 |
| Andrew Nardi RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-8 | 2.25 | 10 |
| Lake Bachar RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-11 | 5.40 | 18 |
| Michael Petersen RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22-17 | 5.40 | 22 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 1st InningDe La Cruz scored on error, Stewart safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Pauley.1–0
- 8th InningStewart flied out to left.
- 6th InningEdwards walked.
- 2nd InningEdwards singled to left, Marsee scored.2–4
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningDe La Cruz scored on error, Stewart safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Pauley.1–0
- 2nd InningEdwards singled to left, Marsee scored.2–4
- 1st InningHicks singled to right, Ramírez scored.2–2
- 1st InningRamírez doubled to left, Edwards scored.2–1
- 5th InningStewart homered to left (381 feet), McLain scored.4–6
- 1st InningSuárez doubled to right, Stewart scored.2–0
- 2nd InningMarsee singled to right, Conine scored.2–3
- 7th InningNorby homered to left (372 feet).4–7
- 3rd InningConine homered to right center (403 feet), Hicks scored.2–6