PHI @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor12:45 PM PT74°F · 7 mph wind · clear⚾ Aaron Nola vs Tyler MahleMLB.TV
Result readSan Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies 0 · San Francisco Giants 5
Final
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to San Francisco Giants on the back of Philadelphia Phillies’s margin work and Philadelphia Phillies’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 90%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 5.
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 90%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreDevers singled to center, Arraez scored.0–5
- 💣 Home RunArraez hit sacrifice bunt, Adames scored, Arraez to first on throwing error by pitcher Alvarado, Arraez to second.0–4
- ScoreDevers homered to center (411 feet), Adames scored and Arraez scored.0–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | — | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .260 | .315 | .340 |
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | .195 | .389 | .463 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .222 | .327 | .422 |
| Alec Bohm 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .186 | .271 | .279 |
| Bryson Stott 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .167 | .211 | .194 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .250 | .306 | .432 |
| Brandon Marsh LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .275 | .302 | .425 |
| Dylan Moore CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .000 | .286 | .000 |
| Rafael Marchan C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .067 | .125 | .267 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .306 | .342 | .361 |
| Otto Kemp LF | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .154 | .214 | .154 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 84-49 | 3.63 | 84 |
| Jonathan Bowlan RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-12 | 5.40 | 18 |
| Jose Alvarado RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-11 | 10.38 | 17 |
| Zach Pop RP | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-5 | 3.38 | 5 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .260 | .315 | .460 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .320 | .333 | .420 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .300 | .352 | .460 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .220 | .278 | .360 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .143 | .224 | .214 |
| Jerar Encarnacion RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .263 | .263 | .316 |
| Jared Oliva CF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .333 | .333 |
| Harrison Bader CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .114 | .149 | .205 |
| Patrick Bailey C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .147 | .216 | .147 |
| Christian Koss 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle SP· | 5.2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 94-56 | 4.30 | 94 |
| Matt Gage RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-8 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Caleb Kilian RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13-6 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Blade Tidwell RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-8 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Erik Miller RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-12 | 9.00 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningMoore struck out swinging.
- 9th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 8th InningLee struck out looking.
- 9th InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Looking
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningDevers singled to center, Arraez scored.0–5
- 8th InningArraez hit sacrifice bunt, Adames scored, Arraez to first on throwing error by pitcher Alvarado, Arraez to second.0–4
- 6th InningDevers homered to center (411 feet), Adames scored and Arraez scored.0–3