ARI @ NYM
Citi Field · Queens, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM ET42°F · 7 mph wind · clear⚾ Eduardo Rodriguez vs Nolan McLeanMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readArizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks 7 · New York Mets 1
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeCiti FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans Arizona Diamondbacks because Arizona Diamondbacks owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Mets has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 62%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 6.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 62%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Zac Gallen SP · #23
- Eduardo Rodriguez SP · #57
- Ketel Marte 2B · #4
- Corbin Carroll RF · #7
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Injury Report
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
Arizona Diamondbacks
Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleMoreno doubled to right, Perdomo scored, Fernandez to third.1–1
- ScoreFernandez grounded out to third, Perdomo scored.6–1
- 🏃 DoubleDel Castillo doubled to left, Vargas scored, Perdomo to third.5–1
- 🏃 TripleBarrosa tripled to right, Thomas scored.4–1
- ScoreTawa hit sacrifice fly to center, Moreno scored.3–1
- ScoreRobert Jr. homered to center (412 feet).0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| New York Mets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Arizona Diamondbacks
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte 2B· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .189 | .246 | .283 |
| Ildemaro Vargas 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .458 | .500 | .750 |
| Geraldo Perdomo SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .171 | .294 | .293 |
| Adrian Del Castillo C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .167 | .167 | .250 |
| Jose Fernandez 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .333 | .333 | .625 |
| James McCann C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | .071 | .133 | .143 |
| Gabriel Moreno C | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .282 | .341 | .410 |
| Alek Thomas CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .114 | .162 | .200 |
| Tim Tawa LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .158 | .227 | .211 |
| Jorge Barrosa LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .217 | .250 | .478 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 102-65 | 0.50 | 102 |
| Taylor Clarke RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-8 | 5.40 | 10 |
| Taylor Rashi RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21-18 | 0.00 | 21 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .157 | .306 | .255 |
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .228 | .262 | .263 |
| Luis Robert Jr. CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | .308 | .460 | .462 |
| Mark Vientos 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .323 | .353 | .484 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .213 | .283 | .319 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .265 | .359 | .559 |
| Brett Baty RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .273 | .267 | .386 |
| Luis Torrens C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .250 | .250 | .313 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .200 | .200 | .467 |
| Jared Young 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .357 | .412 | .500 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan McLean SP· | 6.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 100-64 | 2.70 | 100 |
| Luke Weaver RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16-11 | 3.18 | 16 |
| Luis Garcia RP | 0.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21-13 | 8.44 | 21 |
| Richard Lovelady RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-14 | 4.05 | 18 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningTaylor doubled to left.
- 2nd InningTorrens flied out to center.
- 5th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 3rd InningRobert Jr. walked, Bichette to second.
- 2nd InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningMoreno doubled to right, Perdomo scored, Fernandez to third.1–1
- 8th InningFernandez grounded out to third, Perdomo scored.6–1
- 8th InningDel Castillo doubled to left, Vargas scored, Perdomo to third.5–1
- 7th InningBarrosa tripled to right, Thomas scored.4–1
- 7th InningTawa hit sacrifice fly to center, Moreno scored.3–1
- 1st InningRobert Jr. homered to center (412 feet).0–1
- 8th InningMoreno doubled to center, Del Castillo scored.7–1
- 7th InningThomas grounded into fielder's choice to first, Fernandez scored, Moreno third.2–1