SF @ BAL
Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, Maryland
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET58°F · 4 mph wind · overcast⚾ Landen Roupp vs Shane BazApple TV
Result readSan Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants 6 · Baltimore Orioles 3
Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
San Francisco Giants is the model’s call — Baltimore Orioles on the margin numbers, Baltimore Orioles on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Baltimore Orioles at 59%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 3.
Pre-game pick: Baltimore Orioles at 59%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Baltimore Orioles
- Chris Bassitt SP · #40
- Kyle Bradish SP · #38
- Gunnar Henderson SS · #2
- Pete Alonso 1B · #25
Injury Report
Baltimore Orioles
Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreAdames homered to right center (402 feet).1–0
- 🏃 DoubleTaveras doubled to right, Beavers scored.3–1
- ScoreLee homered to right (361 feet), Schmitt scored.6–1
- 🏃 DoubleAdames doubled to left, Ramos scored, Bailey to third.3–0
- 🏃 DoubleSchmitt doubled to left, Chapman scored.4–1
- ScoreHenderson homered to right (383 feet), Jackson scored.6–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .273 | .322 | .527 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | .302 | .339 | .396 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .315 | .373 | .463 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .218 | .271 | .345 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .333 | .412 | .500 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .174 | .245 | .326 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .216 | .245 | .235 |
| Patrick Bailey C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .158 | .220 | .158 |
| Harrison Bader CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .104 | .137 | .188 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landen Roupp SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 93-54 | 3.24 | 93 |
| Keaton Winn RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 4.26 | 11 |
| JT Brubaker RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15-5 | 3.68 | 15 |
| Matt Gage RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0.00 | 2 |
| Blade Tidwell RP | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18-15 | 3.00 | 18 |
Baltimore Orioles
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .245 | .344 | .585 |
| Taylor Ward LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .365 | .443 | .558 |
| Adley Rutschman C· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .294 | .385 | .471 |
| Pete Alonso 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | .176 | .263 | .275 |
| Samuel Basallo C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .152 | .263 | .242 |
| Dylan Beavers RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .258 | .314 | .387 |
| Ryan Mountcastle 1B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .231 | .286 | .231 |
| Colton Cowser RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .269 | .227 |
| Leody Taveras CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .429 | .556 | .571 |
| Jeremiah Jackson 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .219 | .235 | .219 |
| Blaze Alexander 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | .242 | .286 | .273 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz SP· | 5.0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 99-59 | 4.50 | 99 |
| Yennier Cano RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-6 | 2.25 | 9 |
| Nick Raquet RP | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25-16 | 27.00 | 25 |
| Albert Suarez RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-13 | 1.80 | 18 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningJackson safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Adames.
- 3rd InningBader struck out swinging.
- 2nd InningRamos struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningAdames homered to right center (402 feet).1–0
- 4th InningTaveras doubled to right, Beavers scored.3–1
- 7th InningLee homered to right (361 feet), Schmitt scored.6–1
- 4th InningAdames doubled to left, Ramos scored, Bailey to third.3–0
- 7th InningSchmitt doubled to left, Chapman scored.4–1
- 9th InningHenderson homered to right (383 feet), Jackson scored.6–3
- 4th InningRamos singled to right, Schmitt scored.2–0