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InTheRafters.com

ATH @ NYM

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Afternoon GameOutdoor4:10 PM ET60°F · 9 mph wind · clear⚾ Jacob Lopez vs Kodai SengaMLB.TV
Result readAthletics

Athletics 11 · New York Mets 6

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeCiti FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Athletics because Athletics owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Mets has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 54%. Actual: Athletics by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

New York Mets

Injury Report

New York Mets

Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Athletics
New York Mets
CB Carson Benge LF · #3 BB Brett Baty RF · #7 BB Bo Bichette 3B · #19 RM Ronny Mauricio SS · #0 MS Marcus Semien 2B · #10 MV Mark Vientos 1B · #27 FP Freddy Peralta P · #51 FA F. Alvarez C · #4

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSoderstrom homered to right center (386 feet), Langeliers scored.3rd Inning4–1
  2. ScoreClarke walked, Wilson scored, Cortes to second, McNeil to third.2nd Inning1–1
  3. ScoreLangeliers singled to left, Clarke scored, Kurtz to second.8th Inning8–6
  4. ScoreCortes homered to right center (406 feet), Wilson scored and McNeil scored.3rd Inning7–1
  5. ScorePolanco homered to right (346 feet).7th Inning7–6
  6. ScoreAlvarez homered to center (413 feet).6th Inning7–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics02500004011150
New York Mets1000221006101

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Lawrence Butler RF·1-5501100320.190.277.286
Nick Kurtz 1B·0-3310002122.196.373.239
Shea Langeliers C·2-5522100122.296.333.611
Tyler Soderstrom LF·3-5523520013.236.300.436
Jacob Wilson SS·2-5522000116.250.250.300
Jeff McNeil 2B·3-5523000115.325.386.375
Max Muncy 3B·2-5502000319.321.333.554
Darell Hernaiz 3B0-000000000.250.250.250
Carlos Cortes RF·1-4411311028.333.455.611
Denzel Clarke CF·1-4411101123.171.237.171

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob Lopez SP·5.075535296-587.4396
Joel Kuhnel RP1.01000007-50.007
Justin Sterner RP1.021111124-152.2524
Mark Leiter Jr. RP1.000003014-107.1114
Luis Medina RP1.000001010-61.6910

New York Mets

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Francisco Lindor SS·1-5511000215.167.296.250
Luis Robert Jr. CF·1-4411001220.298.441.426
Jorge Polanco 1B·1-5511110118.200.280.333
Bo Bichette 3B·2-3312312123.250.300.328
Mark Vientos 1B·0-5500000113.278.308.417
Francisco Alvarez C·2-4412110015.300.391.625
Carson Benge LF·1-3311001117.140.245.209
Marcus Semien 2B·1-4401000116.200.262.291
Tyrone Taylor RF·1-220100008.235.235.471
Brett Baty RF0-110010016.245.235.347

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kodai Senga SP·2.187723272-407.0772
Huascar Brazoban RP2.220003038-260.0038
Brooks Raley RP1.000011013-60.0013
Craig Kimbrel RP1.010002010-90.0010
Luke Weaver RP1.034411127-158.1027
Luis Garcia RP1.010001018-147.1118

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningBichette walked.
  2. 2nd InningCortes walked, McNeil to second, Wilson to third.
  3. 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  4. 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball 4

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningSoderstrom homered to right center (386 feet), Langeliers scored.4–1
  2. 2nd InningClarke walked, Wilson scored, Cortes to second, McNeil to third.1–1
  3. 8th InningLangeliers singled to left, Clarke scored, Kurtz to second.8–6
  4. 3rd InningCortes homered to right center (406 feet), Wilson scored and McNeil scored.7–1
  5. 7th InningPolanco homered to right (346 feet).7–6
  6. 6th InningAlvarez homered to center (413 feet).7–4
  7. 2nd InningButler grounded into fielder's choice to second, McNeil scored, Clarke out at second, Cortes to third.2–1
  8. 1st InningBichette singled to center, Robert Jr. scored.0–1
  9. 8th InningSoderstrom homered to right center (420 feet), Kurtz scored and Langeliers scored.11–6
  10. 6th InningBaty hit sacrifice fly to center, Benge scored.7–5
  11. 5th InningBichette homered to right (344 feet), Lindor scored.7–3

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