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In The Rafters

SF @ BAL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM ET56°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Logan Webb vs Chris BassittMLB.TV
Result readBaltimore Orioles

San Francisco Giants 2 · Baltimore Orioles 6

Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Baltimore Orioles because Baltimore Orioles owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Baltimore Orioles has the recent-form edge. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: San Francisco Giants at 51%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Francisco Giants

Baltimore Orioles

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

San Francisco Giants
HR Heliot Ramos LF · #17 DG Drew Gilbert CF · #0 JL Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51 MC Matt Chapman 3B · #26 WA Willy Adames SS · #2 LA Luis Arraez 2B · #1 RD Rafael Devers 1B · #16 LW Logan Webb P · #62 PB Patrick Bailey C · #14
Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRamos grounded out to first, Devers scored, Lee to second, Schmitt to third.4th Inning2–2
  2. ScoreJackson homered to left center (384 feet).7th Inning2–5
  3. ScoreHenderson homered to right (361 feet).3rd Inning1–2
  4. ScoreCowser grounded out to pitcher, Beavers scored.2nd Inning1–1
  5. ScoreRamos singled to center, Devers scored, Ramos to second.2nd Inning1–0
  6. ScoreMayo singled to left, Beavers scored.8th Inning2–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
San Francisco Giants0101000002100
Baltimore Orioles01120011—690

San Francisco Giants

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Willy Adames SS·0-3300001123.259.317.500
Luis Arraez 2B·1-3301000011.304.339.393
Christian Koss 2B1-110100002.250.250.500
Matt Chapman 3B·1-4401000014.310.365.448
Rafael Devers 1B·1-4421000117.220.270.339
Casey Schmitt 1B·1-4401000219.324.395.471
Jung Hoo Lee RF·2-4402000014.200.263.340
Heliot Ramos LF·2-4402200016.236.263.255
Patrick Bailey C·0-330000007.146.205.146
Daniel Susac C0-110000004.750.7781.000
Harrison Bader CF·1-4401000216.115.145.192

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Logan Webb SP·6.054436198-635.2598
Caleb Kilian RP0.211112117-121.5017
Ryan Borucki RP1.131103029-198.4429

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson SS·1-4411111221.246.348.614
Taylor Ward LF·0-3300001214.345.431.527
Pete Alonso 1B·0-3300001221.167.262.259
Samuel Basallo C·0-4400000118.135.238.216
Ryan Mountcastle 1B·1-110100002.286.333.357
Dylan Beavers RF1-2221001116.273.342.394
Leody Taveras CF·0-4410000121.333.455.444
Colton Cowser RF·2-4402100115.231.300.269
Coby Mayo 3B·1-4411200110.147.275.176
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·3-441321006.278.289.389

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Chris Bassitt SP·4.272112089-579.0089
Grant Wolfram RP1.000001014-93.0014
Yennier Cano RP0.10000002-12.082
Rico Garcia RP1.00000108-60.008
Anthony Nunez RP1.010002016-111.2316
Ryan Helsley RP1.020000014-103.3814

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningAdames struck out looking.
  2. 1st InningAdames walked.
  3. 3rd InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Looking
  4. 2nd InningTaveras lined out to right, Beavers to third.
  5. 1st InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
  6. 8th InningTaveras struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningRamos grounded out to first, Devers scored, Lee to second, Schmitt to third.2–2
  2. 7th InningJackson homered to left center (384 feet).2–5
  3. 3rd InningHenderson homered to right (361 feet).1–2
  4. 2nd InningCowser grounded out to pitcher, Beavers scored.1–1
  5. 2nd InningRamos singled to center, Devers scored, Ramos to second.1–0
  6. 8th InningMayo singled to left, Beavers scored.2–6
  7. 4th InningJackson doubled to right, Mayo scored.2–4
  8. 4th InningMayo grounded into fielder's choice to second, Taveras scored, Cowser out at second.2–3

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