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InTheRafters.com

ATH @ NYM

Joshua Silvia
11–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:40 PM ET49°F · 11 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Aaron Civale vs Freddy PeraltaMLB.TV
Result readAthletics

Athletics 1 · New York Mets 0

Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeCiti FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Athletics: Athletics’s scoring margin profile and New York Mets’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 58%. Actual: Athletics by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

New York Mets

Injury Report

New York Mets

Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Athletics
New York Mets
CB Carson Benge LF · #3 BB Brett Baty RF · #7 BB Bo Bichette 3B · #19 RM Ronny Mauricio SS · #0 MS Marcus Semien 2B · #10 MV Mark Vientos 1B · #27 FP Freddy Peralta P · #51 FA F. Alvarez C · #4

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreKurtz homered to right (363 feet).3rd Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Athletics001000000140
New York Mets000000000040

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Lawrence Butler RF·0-4400000113.174.255.261
Nick Kurtz 1B·1-3311111219.204.381.306
Shea Langeliers C·1-4401000217.293.328.586
Tyler Soderstrom LF·0-4400000112.220.281.407
Carlos Cortes RF·1-3301000010.333.440.571
Andy Ibanez 2B0-110000008.154.214.154
Max Muncy 3B·0-3300001126.305.328.525
Jeff McNeil 2B·1-4401000010.318.375.386
Darell Hernaiz 3B·0-2200001215.214.267.214
Denzel Clarke CF·0-3300000111.158.220.158

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Aaron Civale SP·5.240003075-461.7275
Hogan Harris RP1.000002013-82.7013
Scott Barlow RP1.000010017-105.1417
Elvis Alvarado RP0.10000006-46.146
Joel Kuhnel RP1.00000004-30.004

New York Mets

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Francisco Lindor SS·2-4402000014.188.307.266
Jorge Polanco 1B·0-4400000217.184.259.306
Jared Young 1B·1-220100007.350.391.450
Mark Vientos 1B0-220000003.263.293.395
Bo Bichette 3B·0-4400000215.235.284.309
Brett Baty RF·0-3300000112.231.222.327
Marcus Semien 2B·0-330000008.190.250.276
Carson Benge LF·0-3300000015.130.231.196
Luis Torrens C·1-3301000015.263.263.316
Tyrone Taylor RF·0-220000109.211.250.421

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Freddy Peralta SP·6.0411361100-643.86100
Sean Manaea RP3.000004041-332.2541

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningMuncy grounded out to shortstop, Cortes to second.
  2. 9th InningIbáñez lined out to left.
  3. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  4. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  5. 6th InningTorrens singled to right.

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningKurtz homered to right (363 feet).1–0

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