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InTheRafters.com

LAA @ CIN

Joshua Silvia
13–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:40 PM ET⚾ Jose Soriano vs Andrew AbbottMLB.TVReds.TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels 9 · Cincinnati Reds 6

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Venue EdgeGreat American Ball ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Los Angeles Angels because Los Angeles Angels owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Los Angeles Angels has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Angels at 68%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

Cincinnati Reds

Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds

Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Angels
JL Josh Lowe LF · #3 MT Mike Trout CF · #27 JA Jo Adell RF · #7 YM Yoan Moncada 3B · #10 ZN Zach Neto SS · #9 OP Oswald Peraza 2B · #2 NS Nolan Schanuel 1B · #18 JS Jose Soriano P · #59 TD T. d'Arnaud C · #25
Cincinnati Reds
SS Spencer Steer LF · #7 TF TJ Friedl CF · #29 WB Will Benson RF · #30 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · #3 EC E. Cruz SS · #44 MM Matt McLain 2B · #9 SS Sal Stewart 1B · #27 AA Andrew Abbott P · #41 TS T. Stephenson C · #37

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 💣 Home RunDe La Cruz scored on Bachman wild pitch and Stewart scored on Bachman wild pitch, Benson to second on wild pitch by Bachman, Benson safe at third on throwing error by first baseman Schanuel.8th Inning9–3
  2. 💣 Home RunDe La Cruz scored on Bachman wild pitch and Stewart scored on Bachman wild pitch, Benson to second on wild pitch by Bachman, Benson safe at third on throwing error by first baseman Schanuel.8th Inning9–3
  3. ScoreSchanuel walked, Trout scored, Grissom to second, Soler to third.8th Inning9–0
  4. 💣 Home RunSoler sacrificed into double play, center to catcher to third, Trout scored, Adell thrown out at third.2nd Inning5–0
  5. ScorePeraza grounded out to second, Schanuel scored, O'Hoppe to third.7th Inning8–0
  6. ScoreSchanuel singled to left, Adell scored and Trout scored, Grissom to third.1st Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels3202001109102
Cincinnati Reds000000033663

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·0-3310003024.250.368.531
Mike Trout CF·2-4432101015.208.400.377
Josh Lowe LF0-000000000.132.233.316
Jo Adell RF·2-5512100022.297.328.344
Jorge Soler RF·0-3300101025.211.319.456
Vaughn Grissom 2B·1-4411000019.143.250.143
Nolan Schanuel 1B·2-3312302021.232.323.375
Logan O'Hoppe C·2-4402101119.233.358.256
Oswald Peraza 2B·1-5511210011.214.267.405
Bryce Teodosio LF·0-4410001222.077.143.077

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jose Soriano SP·7.02003100106-690.33106
Sam Bachman RP0.223331033-154.9133
Nick Sandlin RP0.112200017-1054.0017
Drew Pomeranz RP1.01110119-76.359

Cincinnati Reds

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
TJ Friedl CF·0-3320001222.153.286.153
Matt McLain 2B·1-5501000118.217.329.267
Elly De La Cruz SS·2-5522310116.281.361.563
Sal Stewart 1B·1-5511100114.309.435.600
Eugenio Suarez 3B·0-2200001112.224.297.345
Will Benson RF0-000000104.179.281.286
Nathaniel Lowe 1B·0-1100003124.211.348.316
Spencer Steer LF·0-4400000322.176.218.353
Noelvi Marte RF·0-4400000119.138.194.138
P.J. Higgins C·1-3301000111.167.167.167
Dane Myers CF1-111100003.300.333.300

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Andrew Abbott SP·3.087721171-435.8571
Kyle Nicolas RP2.010030040-1710.1340
Brock Burke RP1.111110025-141.2325
Sam Moll RP1.201031031-162.0831
Connor Phillips RP1.000001011-82.6111

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningLowe walked.
  2. 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  3. 4th InningSoler flied out to center.
  4. 8th InningSteer flied out to left.
  5. 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningDe La Cruz scored on Bachman wild pitch and Stewart scored on Bachman wild pitch, Benson to second on wild pitch by Bachman, Benson safe at third on throwing error by first baseman Schanuel.9–3
  2. 8th InningDe La Cruz scored on Bachman wild pitch and Stewart scored on Bachman wild pitch, Benson to second on wild pitch by Bachman, Benson safe at third on throwing error by first baseman Schanuel.9–3
  3. 8th InningSchanuel walked, Trout scored, Grissom to second, Soler to third.9–0
  4. 2nd InningSoler sacrificed into double play, center to catcher to third, Trout scored, Adell thrown out at third.5–0
  5. 7th InningPeraza grounded out to second, Schanuel scored, O'Hoppe to third.8–0
  6. 1st InningSchanuel singled to left, Adell scored and Trout scored, Grissom to third.2–0
  7. 8th InningStewart singled to center, Friedl scored, De La Cruz to third.9–1
  8. 4th InningAdell grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Teodosio scored, Trout to second, Neto out at third.7–0
  9. 1st InningO'Hoppe singled to center, Grissom scored, Schanuel to third.3–0
  10. 9th InningDe La Cruz homered to center (405 feet), Myers scored and Friedl scored.9–6
  11. 2nd InningTrout doubled to left, Neto scored.4–0
  12. 4th InningPeraza homered to left (383 feet).6–0

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