SF @ BAL
Oriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, Maryland
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET65°F · 12 mph wind · overcast⚾ Adrian Houser vs Cade PovichMLB.TV
Result readBaltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants 2 · Baltimore Orioles 6
Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Baltimore Orioles on the back of Baltimore Orioles’s margin work and Baltimore Orioles’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: San Francisco Giants at 51%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 4.
Pre-game pick: San Francisco Giants at 51%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Baltimore Orioles
- Chris Bassitt SP · #40
- Kyle Bradish SP · #38
- Gunnar Henderson SS · #2
- Pete Alonso 1B · #25
Injury Report
Baltimore Orioles
Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreMayo singled to center, Taveras scored.1–5
- ScoreCowser reached on infield single to shortstop, Ward scored, Rodríguez to second, Alonso to third.1–6
- ScoreSchmitt homered to left (385 feet).2–6
- 🏃 DoubleAlonso doubled to left, Henderson scored and Ward scored.1–4
- ScoreSusac singled to center, Schmitt scored.1–2
- ScoreBasallo homered to left center (396 feet), Alonso scored.0–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | 6 | 11 | 0 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .258 | .313 | .500 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .222 | .269 | .333 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .290 | .343 | .419 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .368 | .429 | .579 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .185 | .246 | .315 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .241 | .267 | .276 |
| Jared Oliva CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Daniel Susac C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .636 | .667 | .818 |
| Jerar Encarnacion RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .227 | .227 | .273 |
| Christian Koss 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .143 | .143 | .286 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser SP· | 4.2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 88-51 | 5.06 | 88 |
| Matt Gage RP | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21-12 | 1.23 | 21 |
| Ryan Walker RP | 0.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-13 | 5.40 | 20 |
| Erik Miller RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21-12 | 7.20 | 21 |
| JT Brubaker RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20-10 | 3.24 | 20 |
Baltimore Orioles
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | .242 | .338 | .581 |
| Taylor Ward LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .356 | .443 | .525 |
| Pete Alonso 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .190 | .288 | .293 |
| Samuel Basallo C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .150 | .261 | .300 |
| Dylan Beavers RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .250 | .317 | .361 |
| Johnathan Rodriguez RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | .000 | 1.000 | .000 |
| Leody Taveras CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .364 | .462 | .500 |
| Colton Cowser RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .241 | .324 | .276 |
| Coby Mayo 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .158 | .273 | .184 |
| Jeremiah Jackson 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .275 | .286 | .375 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich SP· | 6.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 97-65 | 2.19 | 97 |
| Anthony Nunez RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1.17 | 3 |
| Tyler Wells RP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28-18 | 3.72 | 28 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningRodríguez walked, Alonso to second, Ward to third.
- 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningMayo singled to center, Taveras scored.1–5
- 7th InningCowser reached on infield single to shortstop, Ward scored, Rodríguez to second, Alonso to third.1–6
- 9th InningSchmitt homered to left (385 feet).2–6
- 5th InningAlonso doubled to left, Henderson scored and Ward scored.1–4
- 5th InningSusac singled to center, Schmitt scored.1–2
- 1st InningBasallo homered to left center (396 feet), Alonso scored.0–2