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InTheRafters.com

ARI @ BAL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:35 PM ET⚾ Merrill Kelly vs Trevor RogersMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readArizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks 4 · Baltimore Orioles 3

Final
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Arizona Diamondbacks is the model’s call — Arizona Diamondbacks on the margin numbers, Baltimore Orioles on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 70%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Arizona Diamondbacks

Baltimore Orioles

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25
Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleFernandez doubled to center, Perdomo scored.5th Inning4–2
  2. ScoreTaveras singled to center, Alonso scored, Beavers to second.8th Inning4–3
  3. ScoreTaveras walked, Ward scored, Basallo to second, Alonso to third.3rd Inning0–2
  4. ScoreBasallo homered to center (431 feet).2nd Inning0–1
  5. ScoreVargas homered to left center (379 feet), McCann scored and Barrosa scored.5th Inning3–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Arizona Diamondbacks0000400004100
Baltimore Orioles011000010370

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·1-5511310218.381.409.667
Corbin Carroll RF·0-4400000216.298.379.579
Geraldo Perdomo SS·3-4413000117.190.310.276
Jose Fernandez 1B·2-4402100227.318.318.500
Nolan Arenado 3B·0-4400000110.190.200.310
Luken Baker 1B·1-4401000218.200.200.200
James McCann C·2-4412000122.250.280.375
Tim Tawa LF·0-4400000218.094.189.125
Jorge Barrosa LF·1-2211001015.244.295.439

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Merrill Kelly SP·5.152243186-463.3886
Taylor Clarke RP1.200001015-103.8615
Juan Morillo RP0.221120028-143.3828
Ryan Thompson RP0.10000001-10.001
Paul Sewald RP1.000001011-72.4511

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Gunnar Henderson SS·0-5500000226.222.309.542
Taylor Ward LF·1-5511000014.324.413.471
Pete Alonso 1B·0-2210002121.206.324.365
Samuel Basallo C·2-3312111014.170.278.362
Dylan Beavers RF·0-3300001119.233.306.326
Leody Taveras CF·1-3301201013.357.471.464
Colton Cowser RF·1-3301001015.229.333.257
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·2-4402000010.333.340.563
Blaze Alexander 3B·0-330000019.211.268.237

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Trevor Rogers SP·4.294416199-613.0499
Rico Garcia RP1.100002013-100.0013
Grant Wolfram RP1.100003016-102.4516
Yennier Cano RP1.000002014-91.6914
Nick Raquet RP0.210000019-1116.2019

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningHenderson struck out swinging.
  2. 4th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 1st InningPerdomo out at third on runner's fielder's choice.
  4. 9th InningMcCann singled to center.
  5. 5th InningFernandez doubled to center, Perdomo scored.4–2

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningFernandez doubled to center, Perdomo scored.4–2
  2. 8th InningTaveras singled to center, Alonso scored, Beavers to second.4–3
  3. 3rd InningTaveras walked, Ward scored, Basallo to second, Alonso to third.0–2
  4. 2nd InningBasallo homered to center (431 feet).0–1
  5. 5th InningVargas homered to left center (379 feet), McCann scored and Barrosa scored.3–2

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