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InTheRafters.com

ARI @ BAL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor12:35 PM ET93°F · 8 mph wind · overcast⚾ Eduardo Rodriguez vs Kyle BradishMLB.TVDBACKS.TV
Result readArizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks 8 · Baltimore Orioles 5

Final
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Arizona Diamondbacks because Arizona Diamondbacks owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Baltimore Orioles has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 68%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Arizona Diamondbacks

Baltimore Orioles

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25
Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleBarrosa doubled to right, Thomas scored.4th Inning3–2
  2. ScoreJackson singled to left, Alonso scored, Rodríguez to second.3rd Inning2–2
  3. ScoreArenado singled to center, Vargas scored.10th Inning8–5
  4. ScoreDel Castillo homered to center (420 feet), Carroll scored.10th Inning7–5
  5. ScoreDel Castillo grounded out to shortstop, Marte scored, Carroll to third.7th Inning5–4
  6. ScoreTaveras singled to left, Henderson scored.7th Inning5–5

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Arizona Diamondbacks00210110038120
Baltimore Orioles0110201000581

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ketel Marte 2B·1-5511000319.211.273.408
Corbin Carroll RF·2-4422001118.311.394.607
Geraldo Perdomo SS·1-4411000114.194.307.274
Adrian Del Castillo C·1-5511310017.308.308.462
Jose Fernandez 1B·1-5511000116.306.306.469
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·2-5512000018.383.408.660
Nolan Arenado 3B·2-5502100114.206.215.317
Alek Thomas CF·1-5511100010.130.175.222
Jorge Barrosa LF·1-4401100116.244.292.444

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eduardo Rodriguez SP·5.064443198-591.9698
Kevin Ginkel RP2.021104032-225.8732
Taylor Clarke RP1.00000006-53.486
Ryan Thompson RP1.000000012-90.0012
Juan Morillo RP1.000001010-73.0010

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor Ward LF·0-5500000015.301.388.438
Gunnar Henderson SS·1-5511000128.221.302.519
Pete Alonso 1B·0-3310002122.197.329.348
Johnathan Rodriguez RF·0-2200001114.000.500.000
Leody Taveras CF1-220110004.367.472.467
Weston Wilson 3B·1-3311000111.333.333.333
Colton Cowser RF0-220000018.216.318.243
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·2-5512310113.340.345.604
Coby Mayo 3B·1-4411000013.167.271.214
Sam Huff C·1-4401100113.250.250.500
Blaze Alexander 3B·1-3301001117.220.289.244

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Bradish SP·6.074214097-644.5897
Grant Wolfram RP0.22110007-63.387
Yennier Cano RP0.10000103-31.593
Anthony Nunez RP1.000001010-91.0410
Ryan Helsley RP1.000002011-82.4511
Tyler Wells RP1.033200114-95.0614

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningHuff struck out swinging.
  2. 4th InningHenderson lined out to center.
  3. 1st InningDel Castillo popped out to shortstop.

Scoring Plays

  1. 4th InningBarrosa doubled to right, Thomas scored.3–2
  2. 3rd InningJackson singled to left, Alonso scored, Rodríguez to second.2–2
  3. 10th InningArenado singled to center, Vargas scored.8–5
  4. 10th InningDel Castillo homered to center (420 feet), Carroll scored.7–5
  5. 7th InningDel Castillo grounded out to shortstop, Marte scored, Carroll to third.5–4
  6. 7th InningTaveras singled to left, Henderson scored.5–5
  7. 6th InningThomas grounded out to first, Fernandez scored, Arenado to second.4–4
  8. 5th InningJackson homered to left center (387 feet), Wilson scored.3–4
  9. 2nd InningHuff doubled to left, Mayo scored.0–1
  10. 3rd InningCarroll scored on error and Perdomo scored on error, Del Castillo safe at first on fielding error by left fielder Wilson, Del Castillo safe at third on error.2–1

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