Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor12:40 PM ET77°F · 14 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ Landen Roupp vs Chase BurnsESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVReds.TV
Result readSan Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants 3 · Cincinnati Reds 0

Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Venue EdgeGreat American Ball ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

San Francisco Giants is the model’s call — Cincinnati Reds on the margin numbers, San Francisco Giants on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Cincinnati Reds at 58%. Actual: San Francisco Giants by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Francisco Giants

Cincinnati Reds

Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds

Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLee singled to left, Chapman scored.7th Inning2–0
  2. 🏃 DoubleChapman doubled to left, Arraez scored.7th Inning1–0
  3. ScoreSchmitt singled to center, Lee scored, Ramos to third.7th Inning3–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
San Francisco Giants000000300360
Cincinnati Reds000000000011

San Francisco Giants

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Luis Arraez 2B·0-4410000014.313.351.388
Willy Adames SS·1-3301000115.260.316.507
Rafael Devers 1B·0-4400000220.216.266.311
Matt Chapman 3B·1-4411100220.270.316.392
Jung Hoo Lee RF·3-4413100118.246.301.385
Will Brennan LF·0-220000007.000.000.000
Heliot Ramos LF0-1100001010.231.265.262
Casey Schmitt 1B·1-4401100013.306.370.469
Drew Gilbert CF·0-2200001114.000.200.000
Patrick Bailey C·0-3300000215.128.180.128

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Landen Roupp SP·6.010026087-492.3887
Ryan Walker RP1.000001017-123.8617
Keaton Winn RP1.000002012-93.2412
Erik Miller RP1.000013024-146.0024

Cincinnati Reds

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
TJ Friedl CF·0-2200000015.154.286.154
Dane Myers CF0-110000016.250.308.250
Matt McLain 2B·0-3300001121.194.349.239
Elly De La Cruz SS·0-4400000322.267.345.547
Sal Stewart 1B·0-4400000219.303.413.682
Eugenio Suarez 3B·0-2200001014.242.324.394
Spencer Steer LF·0-2200000211.200.246.400
Rece Hinds RF·0-3300000111.000.000.000
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B·0-330000019.064.137.064
P.J. Higgins C·1-2201001112.250.333.250

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Chase Burns SP·6.020014087-542.4287
Brock Burke RP0.223002015-121.0815
Connor Phillips RP1.010012023-122.3823
Sam Moll RP0.210001011-71.9311
Kyle Nicolas RP0.200000010-68.1010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningMcLain walked.
  2. 7th InningStewart grounded out to first.
  3. 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  4. 9th InningMyers struck out swinging.
  5. 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  6. 7th InningRamos walked, Lee to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningLee singled to left, Chapman scored.2–0
  2. 7th InningChapman doubled to left, Arraez scored.1–0
  3. 7th InningSchmitt singled to center, Lee scored, Ramos to third.3–0

Trending