MIL @ MIA
loanDepot park · Miami, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameIndoor4:10 PM ET⚾ Brandon Woodruff vs Sandy AlcantaraMLB.TVBrewers.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers 5 · Miami Marlins 2
Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Milwaukee Brewers on the back of Milwaukee Brewers’s margin work and Milwaukee Brewers’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 92%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 3.
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 92%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Milwaukee Brewers
- Jacob Misiorowski SP · #32
- Kyle Harrison SP · #52
- Aaron Ashby RP · #26
- DL Hall RP · #37
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut
Milwaukee Brewers
J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreLockridge singled to center, Rengifo scored.1–1
- ScoreFrelick grounded into fielder's choice to second, Mitchell scored, Ortiz to second.4–1
- ScoreHernández grounded into fielder's choice to third, Lopez scored, Caissie out at second, Norby to third.5–2
- ScoreTurang singled to center, Ortiz scored, Frelick to second.5–1
- ScoreTurang homered to center (402 feet), Contreras scored.3–1
- ScoreNorby singled to center, Hicks scored.0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Miami Marlins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Milwaukee Brewers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Frelick RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .179 | .286 | .254 |
| William Contreras C· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .292 | .386 | .444 |
| Brice Turang 2B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | .299 | .434 | .582 |
| Gary Sanchez C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .237 | .442 | .658 |
| Jake Bauers 1B· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .234 | .310 | .484 |
| Luis Rengifo 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .161 | .226 | .268 |
| Garrett Mitchell CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | .277 | .452 | .426 |
| Brandon Lockridge LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | .255 | .333 | .294 |
| Joey Ortiz SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .196 | .268 | .196 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Woodruff SP· | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 92-70 | 3.42 | 92 |
| Jake Woodford RP | 1.1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33-22 | 4.15 | 33 |
| Abner Uribe RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-3 | 4.00 | 4 |
Miami Marlins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Marsee CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .160 | .274 | .222 |
| Xavier Edwards 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .342 | .409 | .481 |
| Agustin Ramirez C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .233 | .313 | .356 |
| Liam Hicks C· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .313 | .352 | .531 |
| Otto Lopez SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .342 | .393 | .566 |
| Connor Norby 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .270 | .365 | .444 |
| Owen Caissie RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .246 | .297 | .421 |
| Heriberto Hernandez LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .137 | .267 | .176 |
| Javier Sanoja 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .313 | .353 | .375 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara SP· | 5.0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 97-54 | 2.80 | 97 |
| Anthony Bender RP | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26-12 | 8.22 | 26 |
| Lake Bachar RP | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 40-22 | 2.38 | 40 |
| John King RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10-6 | 1.04 | 10 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningNorby popped out to third.
- 3rd InningSanoja walked.
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningLockridge singled to center, Rengifo scored.1–1
- 6th InningFrelick grounded into fielder's choice to second, Mitchell scored, Ortiz to second.4–1
- 9th InningHernández grounded into fielder's choice to third, Lopez scored, Caissie out at second, Norby to third.5–2
- 6th InningTurang singled to center, Ortiz scored, Frelick to second.5–1
- 5th InningTurang homered to center (402 feet), Contreras scored.3–1
- 2nd InningNorby singled to center, Hicks scored.0–1