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InTheRafters.com

MIL @ MIA

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:40 PM ET⚾ Jacob Misiorowski vs Eury PerezMLB.TVBrewers.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins

Milwaukee Brewers 3 · Miami Marlins 5

Final
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Miami Marlins gets the model’s nod thanks to Milwaukee Brewers’s margin advantage, with Milwaukee Brewers’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 93%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

Miami Marlins

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24
Miami Marlins
KS Kyle Stowers LF · #28 JM Jakob Marsee CF · #87 OC Owen Caissie RF · #17 GP Graham Pauley 3B · #21 OL Otto Lopez SS · #6 XE Xavier Edwards 2B · #9 CN Connor Norby 1B · #1 EP Eury Perez P · #39 LH Liam Hicks C · #34

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMarsee scored, Lopez to second, Edwards to third on wild pitch by Misiorowski.1st Inning0–1
  2. ScoreMarsee scored on Misiorowski wild pitch, Lopez to second on wild pitch by Misiorowski, Edwards to third on wild pitch by Misiorowski.1st Inning0–1
  3. ScoreMitchell grounded out to first, Hamilton scored.6th Inning1–3
  4. ScoreHicks singled to left, Lopez scored.1st Inning0–3
  5. ScoreSánchez singled to center, Frelick scored and Mitchell scored, Turang to third.8th Inning3–5
  6. ScoreSanoja singled to center, Hicks scored and Caissie scored, Sanoja to second.6th Inning1–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Milwaukee Brewers000001020351
Miami Marlins30000200—581

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Garrett Mitchell CF·0-3310101216.260.439.400
Brice Turang 2B·1-3301001120.300.437.571
Gary Sanchez C·1-440120009.238.429.619
Joey Ortiz SS0-000000000.196.268.196
Jake Bauers 1B·0-330000018.224.297.463
William Contreras C0-110000002.288.381.438
Luis Rengifo 3B·1-4401000117.167.227.267
Brandon Lockridge LF·1-4401000317.255.328.309
Greg Jones LF·0-220000016.111.111.111
Blake Perkins LF0-2200000011.125.222.188
Luis Matos RF·0-2200000110.188.235.188
Sal Frelick RF1-111100003.191.295.265
David Hamilton 3B·0-2210001018.178.339.178

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob Misiorowski SP·5.043139097-613.0497
DL Hall RP0.122221019-92.7919
Grant Anderson RP0.20000006-43.186
Carlos Rodriguez RP2.020003032-210.0032

Miami Marlins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jakob Marsee CF·0-3310002225.155.280.214
Xavier Edwards 2B·1-4411001216.337.409.470
Otto Lopez SS·1-4411000012.338.386.550
Kyle Stowers LF·2-3302000120.667.7501.000
Agustin Ramirez C·0-4400000114.221.299.338
Liam Hicks C·2-3312101015.328.373.552
Connor Norby 1B·0-4400000419.254.346.418
Owen Caissie RF·1-4411000217.246.294.426
Graham Pauley 3B·0-1100001110.170.204.298
Javier Sanoja 3B1-220120006.320.358.380

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eury Perez SP·6.031017084-584.1584
Michael Petersen RP1.211101023-163.7223
Andrew Nardi RP0.011120015-57.5015
Calvin Faucher RP0.10000002-24.912
Pete Fairbanks RP1.000002013-107.7113

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningSanoja flied out to left.
  2. 8th InningPitch 4 : Ball In Play
  3. 1st InningStowers hit by pitch.
  4. 8th InningPitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 6th InningHamilton walked.
  6. 1st InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  7. 8th InningPitch 2 : Strike 1 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningMarsee scored, Lopez to second, Edwards to third on wild pitch by Misiorowski.0–1
  2. 1st InningMarsee scored on Misiorowski wild pitch, Lopez to second on wild pitch by Misiorowski, Edwards to third on wild pitch by Misiorowski.0–1
  3. 6th InningMitchell grounded out to first, Hamilton scored.1–3
  4. 1st InningHicks singled to left, Lopez scored.0–3
  5. 8th InningSánchez singled to center, Frelick scored and Mitchell scored, Turang to third.3–5
  6. 6th InningSanoja singled to center, Hicks scored and Caissie scored, Sanoja to second.1–5
  7. 1st InningRamírez grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Edwards scored, Stowers out at second, Lopez to third.0–2

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