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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET59°F · 17 mph wind · overcast❄️ Cold-weather game · 17 mph wind⚾ Robbie Ray vs Miles MikolasMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

San Francisco Giants 0 · Washington Nationals 3

Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Washington Nationals: Washington Nationals’s scoring margin profile and Washington Nationals’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 75%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Francisco Giants

Washington Nationals

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleRuiz doubled to left, Nuñez scored.5th Inning0–1
  2. ScoreMead homered to left (390 feet), Ruiz scored.5th Inning0–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
San Francisco Giants000000000090
Washington Nationals00003000—372

San Francisco Giants

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Willy Adames SS·0-5500000321.247.295.461
Luis Arraez 2B·0-4400000011.305.337.366
Matt Chapman 3B·2-4402000019.303.340.404
Rafael Devers 1B·2-4402000113.225.266.315
Casey Schmitt 1B·1-4401000011.313.362.516
Jung Hoo Lee RF·0-330000018.244.299.359
Jerar Encarnacion RF0-110000013.240.240.280
Heliot Ramos LF·1-4401000220.256.301.385
Drew Gilbert CF·2-4402000014.313.389.500
Patrick Bailey C·1-2201001015.151.211.151
Daniel Susac C0-110000014.478.500.652

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Robbie Ray SP·6.073317193-642.8693
Keaton Winn RP1.000001016-122.8916
JT Brubaker RP1.000000012-62.3812

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-3300001216.247.380.551
Curtis Mead 1B·1-4411210015.205.271.409
Brady House 3B·1-4401000120.235.279.358
CJ Abrams SS·0-4400000012.320.429.600
Jacob Young CF·1-4401000111.254.288.413
Joey Wiemer RF·1-3301000217.341.420.568
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·0-3300000212.221.264.338
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-331100004.185.284.200
Keibert Ruiz C·2-3312100014.220.250.366

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
PJ Poulin RP·0.210000016-123.6516
Miles Mikolas SP4.040014061-409.1561
Andrew Alvarez SP4.140005062-440.0062

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningRamos doubled to right.
  2. 5th InningRuiz doubled to left, Nuñez scored.0–1

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningRuiz doubled to left, Nuñez scored.0–1
  2. 5th InningMead homered to left (390 feet), Ruiz scored.0–3

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