ATH @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor6:40 PM PT⚾ J.T. Ginn vs Emerson HancockMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readAthletics
Athletics 6 · Seattle Mariners 4
Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Athletics: Seattle Mariners’s scoring margin profile and Athletics’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 51%. Actual: Athletics by 2.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 51%. Actual: Athletics by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Athletics
Roster watch list pending.
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Athletics
Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreLangeliers homered to center (432 feet).3–3
- ScoreButler singled to right, Wilson scored and McNeil scored.6–3
- ScoreCanzone homered to right center (365 feet).0–3
- ScoreRaleigh homered to left center (382 feet).0–1
- ScoreKurtz homered to center (416 feet).2–3
- 🏃 DoubleNaylor doubled to right, Rodríguez scored.0–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
Athletics
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .227 | .420 | .387 |
| Shea Langeliers C· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .303 | .367 | .584 |
| Carlos Cortes RF· | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .333 | .417 | .548 |
| Tyler Soderstrom LF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .213 | .300 | .382 |
| Jacob Wilson SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .263 | .271 | .358 |
| Jeff McNeil 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .269 | .359 | .343 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .253 | .307 | .443 |
| Lawrence Butler RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | .208 | .278 | .319 |
| Zack Gelof CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .167 | .167 | .250 |
| Denzel Clarke CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .170 | .228 | .189 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Ginn SP· | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 92-56 | 3.74 | 92 |
| Hogan Harris RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25-18 | 2.51 | 25 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19-13 | 7.45 | 19 |
| Joel Kuhnel RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-8 | 1.29 | 10 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .196 | .369 | .314 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | .161 | .248 | .290 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .222 | .320 | .289 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .174 | .253 | .267 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | .279 | .386 | .407 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .304 | .360 | .609 |
| Rob Refsnyder RF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .042 | .148 | .167 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .275 | .333 | .569 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .244 | .340 | .366 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .151 | .292 | .208 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson Hancock SP· | 5.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 85-58 | 2.83 | 85 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19-17 | 3.00 | 19 |
| Matt Brash RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15-8 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Casey Legumina RP | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23-15 | 4.63 | 23 |
| Cooper Criswell RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 1.80 | 9 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 5th InningButler singled to right.
- 5th InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
- 5th InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 2nd InningRaleigh struck out swinging.
- 8th InningRaleigh flied out to center.
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningLangeliers homered to center (432 feet).3–3
- 8th InningButler singled to right, Wilson scored and McNeil scored.6–3
- 2nd InningCanzone homered to right center (365 feet).0–3
- 1st InningRaleigh homered to left center (382 feet).0–1
- 6th InningKurtz homered to center (416 feet).2–3
- 1st InningNaylor doubled to right, Rodríguez scored.0–2
- 4th InningCortes homered to right (379 feet).1–3
- 9th InningRivas doubled to right, Young scored.6–4
- 8th InningMuncy hit sacrifice fly to right, Soderstrom scored, McNeil to second, Wilson to third.4–3