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InTheRafters.com

STL @ MIA

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM ET⚾ Michael McGreevy vs Max MeyerMLB.TVCardinals.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins

St. Louis Cardinals 3 · Miami Marlins 5

Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeloanDepot parkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Miami Marlins on the back of St. Louis Cardinals’s margin work and St. Louis Cardinals’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 65%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins

Injury Report

Miami Marlins

Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48
Miami Marlins
KS Kyle Stowers LF · #28 JM Jakob Marsee CF · #87 OC Owen Caissie RF · #17 GP Graham Pauley 3B · #21 OL Otto Lopez SS · #6 XE Xavier Edwards 2B · #9 CN Connor Norby 1B · #1 EP Eury Perez P · #39 LH Liam Hicks C · #34

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 💣 Home RunHicks singled to right, Lopez scored, Hicks to second, Edwards thrown out at third.8th Inning2–5
  2. ScoreEdwards hit a ground rule double, Stowers scored.4th Inning1–1
  3. ScoreWinn hit sacrifice fly to left, Walker scored.4th Inning1–0
  4. ScoreWalker scored on Faucher wild pitch, Winn to third on wild pitch by Faucher.6th Inning2–2
  5. ScoreRamírez homered to center (411 feet).5th Inning1–2
  6. ScoreUrías hit sacrifice fly to center, Winn scored.9th Inning3–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
St. Louis Cardinals000101001350
Miami Marlins00011201—560

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·0-3300000218.228.376.354
Ivan Herrera C·1-3301000018.218.392.346
Alec Burleson 1B·0-4400000112.267.354.430
Jordan Walker RF·1-3321001217.306.372.635
Nolan Gorman 3B·0-3300001121.200.275.329
Masyn Winn SS·2-3312100116.242.346.379
Ramon Urias 3B·1-3301100210.205.319.436
Thomas Saggese LF·0-4400000214.191.255.234
Victor Scott II CF·0-220000017.218.267.236
Jose Fermin LF0-2200000114.250.333.450

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael McGreevy SP·5.254423180-453.2980
Matt Svanson RP1.100020025-1212.0025
Ryan Fernandez RP1.011121020-83.3820

Miami Marlins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jakob Marsee CF·0-3300001117.149.279.207
Kyle Stowers LF·1-3321001012.500.625.667
Otto Lopez SS·1-3321101011.337.391.554
Xavier Edwards 2B·1-2201102016.341.423.482
Liam Hicks C·2-4402200014.338.380.549
Agustin Ramirez C·1-4411110113.222.297.370
Owen Caissie RF·0-4400000110.231.278.400
Graham Pauley 3B·0-3300000018.160.192.280
Connor Norby 1B·0-2200001114.246.346.406

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Max Meyer SP·5.132228091-593.9691
Calvin Faucher RP0.21000107-64.507
Andrew Nardi RP1.100000021-116.1421
Anthony Bender RP0.20000209-77.569
Pete Fairbanks RP1.011102019-147.8819

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningGorman walked.
  2. 4th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
  3. 4th InningWalker to third on wild pitch by Meyer.
  4. 9th InningFermín struck out looking.
  5. 7th InningFermín flied out to shortstop.
  6. 4th InningWalker to third on wild pitch by Meyer.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningHicks singled to right, Lopez scored, Hicks to second, Edwards thrown out at third.2–5
  2. 4th InningEdwards hit a ground rule double, Stowers scored.1–1
  3. 4th InningWinn hit sacrifice fly to left, Walker scored.1–0
  4. 6th InningWalker scored on Faucher wild pitch, Winn to third on wild pitch by Faucher.2–2
  5. 5th InningRamírez homered to center (411 feet).1–2
  6. 9th InningUrías hit sacrifice fly to center, Winn scored.3–5
  7. 6th InningHicks singled to center, Lopez scored, Hicks to second, Edwards thrown out at home.2–4
  8. 6th InningWalker scored on Faucher wild pitch, Winn to third on wild pitch by Faucher.2–2
  9. 6th InningLopez doubled to left, Stowers scored.2–3
  10. 6th InningWalker scored on Faucher wild pitch, Winn to third on wild pitch by Faucher.2–2

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