ATH @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:10 PM PT⚾ Aaron Civale vs Logan GilbertMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners
Athletics 4 · Seattle Mariners 5
Final
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Seattle Mariners on the back of Seattle Mariners’s margin work and Athletics’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 52%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 1.
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 52%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Athletics
Roster watch list pending.
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Athletics
Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreArozarena hit sacrifice fly to left, Crawford scored.2–1
- ScoreKurtz homered to center (438 feet).4–4
- ScoreRaleigh homered to right (405 feet).3–2
- ScoreRefsnyder hit sacrifice fly to center, Naylor scored, Garver to third.3–3
- 🏃 DoubleWilson doubled to left, Cortes scored.3–1
- ScoreMcNeil singled to center, Langeliers scored on error, Cortes to second, Cortes safe at third on fielding error by center fielder Rodríguez.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 2 |
Athletics
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .241 | .427 | .422 |
| Shea Langeliers C· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .306 | .370 | .592 |
| Carlos Cortes RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .327 | .397 | .519 |
| Zack Gelof CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .188 | .250 |
| Tyler Soderstrom LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .219 | .303 | .396 |
| Jacob Wilson SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .279 | .286 | .385 |
| Jeff McNeil 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .280 | .360 | .387 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .256 | .320 | .430 |
| Lawrence Butler RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | .192 | .276 | .295 |
| Austin Wynns C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .125 | .192 | .125 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale SP· | 5.1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 85-55 | 3.86 | 85 |
| Brady Basso RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-5 | 0.00 | 6 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-12 | 7.59 | 18 |
| Justin Sterner RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-10 | 3.46 | 13 |
| Joel Kuhnel RP | 0.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 2.35 | 11 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .200 | .351 | .300 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .198 | .281 | .386 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .245 | .339 | .306 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .194 | .269 | .280 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .290 | .385 | .419 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .292 | .354 | .583 |
| Mitch Garver C | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .160 | .276 | .200 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .259 | .317 | .537 |
| Rob Refsnyder RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .071 | .156 | .179 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .233 | .324 | .344 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .150 | .278 | .200 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert SP· | 4.0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 89-55 | 4.36 | 89 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26-18 | 2.45 | 26 |
| Matt Brash RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-6 | 0.00 | 10 |
| Cooper Criswell RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-7 | 1.64 | 9 |
| Andres Munoz RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17-11 | 8.00 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningGarver struck out looking.
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningArozarena hit sacrifice fly to left, Crawford scored.2–1
- 9th InningKurtz homered to center (438 feet).4–4
- 3rd InningRaleigh homered to right (405 feet).3–2
- 6th InningRefsnyder hit sacrifice fly to center, Naylor scored, Garver to third.3–3
- 3rd InningWilson doubled to left, Cortes scored.3–1
- 1st InningMcNeil singled to center, Langeliers scored on error, Cortes to second, Cortes safe at third on fielding error by center fielder Rodríguez.2–0
- 9th InningNaylor singled to left, Raleigh scored, Rodríguez to second.4–5
- 7th InningRodríguez grounded out to shortstop, Crawford scored.3–4
- 1st InningSoderstrom hit sacrifice fly to center, Kurtz scored.1–0