MIA @ SF
Oracle Park · San Francisco, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM PT⚾ Sandy Alcantara vs Adrian HouserESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVMarlins.TV
Result readMiami Marlins
Miami Marlins 9 · San Francisco Giants 4
Final
Miami Marlins19-22-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.0) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 40%
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOracle ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Miami Marlins gets the model’s nod thanks to Miami Marlins’s margin advantage, with Miami Marlins’s recent run providing the second tip. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 81%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 5.
Pre-game pick: Miami Marlins at 81%. Actual: Miami Marlins by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Injury Report
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
Miami Marlins
Owen CaissieDay-To-DayPete Fairbanks15-Day-ILGriffin Conine10-Day-ILRonny Henriquez60-Day-ILJesus TinocoOut
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreLee homered to right (364 feet).9–4
- ScoreHicks homered to right center (390 feet), Edwards scored.3–0
- 🏃 DoubleEdwards doubled to right, Marsee scored.1–0
- ScoreArraez singled to left, Haase scored.8–3
- 🏃 DoubleHaase doubled to right, Gilbert scored.8–2
- ScorePauley singled to center, Caissie scored.4–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Miami Marlins
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Marsee CF· | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .178 | .300 | .267 |
| Kyle Stowers LF· | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .400 | .500 | .600 |
| Esteury Ruiz CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Otto Lopez SS· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .330 | .377 | .515 |
| Xavier Edwards 2B· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | .347 | .429 | .480 |
| Liam Hicks C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .317 | .359 | .537 |
| Agustin Ramirez C· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .226 | .298 | .366 |
| Owen Caissie RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .230 | .280 | .392 |
| Heriberto Hernandez LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .175 | .299 | .211 |
| Graham Pauley 3B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .211 | .250 | .316 |
| Javier Sanoja 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .352 | .407 | .407 |
| Connor Norby 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .244 | .333 | .423 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara SP· | 6.0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 108-75 | 3.05 | 108 |
| Lake Bachar RP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 31-23 | 3.29 | 31 |
| John King RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 0.82 | 14 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames SS· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .217 | .259 | .396 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .320 | .352 | .371 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .284 | .330 | .373 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .221 | .257 | .308 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .280 | .321 | .453 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | .275 | .320 | .407 |
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .267 | .313 | .389 |
| Drew Gilbert CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .231 | .286 | .346 |
| Jerar Encarnacion RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .231 | .259 | .269 |
| Eric Haase C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .333 | .333 | .667 |
| Christian Koss 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .125 | .125 | .250 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser SP· | 4.0 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 77-47 | 7.36 | 77 |
| JT Brubaker RP | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 54-34 | 2.51 | 54 |
| Caleb Kilian RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18-12 | 0.75 | 18 |
| Ryan Borucki RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24-14 | 5.19 | 24 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningEncarnacion walked.
- 9th InningPitch 6 : Ball 4
- 9th InningPitch 5 : Strike 2 Looking
- 9th InningNorby flied out to center, Ramírez to third.
- 8th InningLee homered to right (364 feet).9–4
- 8th InningEdwards walked, Lopez to second.
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningLee homered to right (364 feet).9–4
- 1st InningHicks homered to right center (390 feet), Edwards scored.3–0
- 1st InningEdwards doubled to right, Marsee scored.1–0
- 5th InningArraez singled to left, Haase scored.8–3
- 5th InningHaase doubled to right, Gilbert scored.8–2
- 2nd InningPauley singled to center, Caissie scored.4–0
- 6th InningLopez singled to left, Stowers scored.9–3
- 5th InningGilbert singled to center, Ramos scored.8–1
- 4th InningNorby homered to center (418 feet), Caissie scored and Pauley scored.8–0
- 3rd InningHicks hit sacrifice fly to left, Stowers scored.5–0