SEA @ STL
Busch Stadium · St. Louis, Missouri
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM CT62°F · 6 mph wind · partly cloudy⚾ George Kirby vs Andre PallanteMLB.TVCardinals.TVMariners.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners 3 · St. Louis Cardinals 2
Final
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeBusch StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Seattle Mariners on the back of St. Louis Cardinals’s margin work and St. Louis Cardinals’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 62%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 1.
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 62%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
St. Louis Cardinals
- Matthew Liberatore SP · #32
- Andre Pallante SP · #53
- Ivan Herrera C · #48
- JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreWinn singled to right, Walker scored and Gorman scored, Winn to second.2–2
- ScoreCanzone singled to left, Naylor scored.2–0
- ScoreNaylor homered to right center (418 feet).3–2
- ScoreYoung singled to center, Arozarena scored.1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .194 | .359 | .290 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .192 | .280 | .375 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .235 | .328 | .294 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .198 | .278 | .313 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | .289 | .381 | .423 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .284 | .346 | .568 |
| Rob Refsnyder RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .069 | .176 | .172 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .263 | .328 | .526 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .234 | .321 | .340 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .141 | .263 | .188 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kirby SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 81-54 | 2.97 | 81 |
| Matt Brash RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-10 | 0.00 | 13 |
| Gabe Speier RP | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-9 | 2.70 | 11 |
| Eduard Bazardo RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-4 | 1.64 | 4 |
| Andres Munoz RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-10 | 7.20 | 14 |
St. Louis Cardinals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Wetherholt 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .220 | .360 | .341 |
| Ivan Herrera C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .233 | .391 | .378 |
| Alec Burleson 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .269 | .355 | .430 |
| Jordan Walker RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .280 | .343 | .581 |
| Nolan Gorman 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .222 | .293 | .358 |
| Masyn Winn SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .270 | .360 | .405 |
| Nathan Church LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .237 | .292 | .356 |
| Ramon Urias 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .170 | .273 | .362 |
| Jose Fermin LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .222 | .290 | .370 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante SP· | 5.1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 90-54 | 4.26 | 90 |
| Justin Bruihl RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20-9 | 5.40 | 20 |
| George Soriano RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 4.35 | 11 |
| Gordon Graceffo RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23-15 | 0.66 | 23 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningRefsnyder walked.
- 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
- 5th InningRodríguez grounded out to third.
- 4th InningArozarena struck out swinging.
- 9th InningCanzone grounded out to second.
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningWinn singled to right, Walker scored and Gorman scored, Winn to second.2–2
- 4th InningCanzone singled to left, Naylor scored.2–0
- 6th InningNaylor homered to right center (418 feet).3–2
- 2nd InningYoung singled to center, Arozarena scored.1–0