KC @ ATH
Sutter Health Park · Sacramento, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM PT58°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Kris Bubic vs Aaron CivaleESPN UnlmtdMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals 4 · Athletics 1
Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Kansas City Royals gets the model’s nod thanks to Athletics’s margin advantage, with Kansas City Royals’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 52%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 3.
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 52%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Kansas City Royals
- Cole Ragans SP · #55
- Kris Bubic SP · #50
- Luinder Avila RP · #58
- Bobby Witt Jr. SS · #7
Athletics
Roster watch list pending.
Injury Report
Athletics
Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
Kansas City Royals
Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScorePerez homered to center (425 feet).1–1
- ScoreWilson singled to center, Gelof scored.0–1
- ScoreWitt Jr. homered to right center (389 feet), Loftin scored and Isbel scored.4–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| Athletics | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Kansas City Royals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .269 | .342 | .404 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .289 | .362 | .439 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .167 | .276 | .324 |
| Michael Massey 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .239 | .265 | .413 |
| Salvador Perez C· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .196 | .229 | .357 |
| Jac Caglianone RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .250 | .330 | .405 |
| Lane Thomas CF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .236 | .373 | .309 |
| Carter Jensen C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .265 | .347 | .506 |
| Starling Marte RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .258 | .345 |
| Isaac Collins LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .222 | .341 | .319 |
| Nick Loftin 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .276 | .382 | .379 |
| Kyle Isbel CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .290 | .355 | .464 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Bubic SP· | 5.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 96-58 | 3.74 | 96 |
| John Schreiber RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-8 | 4.50 | 13 |
| Daniel Lynch IV RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20-11 | 0.79 | 20 |
| Matt Strahm RP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26-17 | 4.22 | 26 |
| Nick Mears RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-11 | 2.45 | 14 |
| Lucas Erceg RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23-14 | 4.38 | 23 |
Athletics
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .275 | .279 | .375 |
| Shea Langeliers C· | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .316 | .370 | .573 |
| Nick Kurtz 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | .232 | .415 | .414 |
| Brent Rooker RF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .120 | .220 | .240 |
| Colby Thomas RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .286 | .375 | .286 |
| Lawrence Butler RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .184 | .260 | .276 |
| Tyler Soderstrom LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | .211 | .298 | .404 |
| Carlos Cortes RF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .387 | .457 | .694 |
| Zack Gelof CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | .250 | .276 | .393 |
| Darell Hernaiz 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | .194 | .306 | .290 |
| Jeff McNeil 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .276 | .354 | .368 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale SP· | 5.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 87-60 | 3.23 | 87 |
| Hogan Harris RP | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22-9 | 2.65 | 22 |
| Scott Barlow RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-7 | 3.38 | 11 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-7 | 6.39 | 9 |
| Jack Perkins RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 2.92 | 12 |
| Justin Sterner RP | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12-7 | 4.02 | 12 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningPasquantino walked.
- 3rd InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
- 1st InningPasquantino doubled to left.
- 9th InningKurtz struck out looking.
- 6th InningHernaiz fouled out to first.
- 3rd InningPitch 8 : Ball 3
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningPerez homered to center (425 feet).1–1
- 2nd InningWilson singled to center, Gelof scored.0–1
- 10th InningWitt Jr. homered to right center (389 feet), Loftin scored and Isbel scored.4–1