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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET56°F · 6 mph wind · overcast⚾ Tyler Mahle vs Jesus LuzardoMLB.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies

San Francisco Giants 0 · Philadelphia Phillies 7

Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Philadelphia Phillies gets the model’s nod thanks to Philadelphia Phillies’s margin advantage, with Philadelphia Phillies’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 76%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Francisco Giants

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreCrawford singled to right, Marsh scored.8th Inning0–6
  2. ScoreMarsh hit sacrifice fly to left, Turner scored.4th Inning0–1
  3. ScoreTurner singled to center, Crawford scored, Marchán to second.8th Inning0–7
  4. 🏃 DoubleGarcía doubled to center, Harper scored and Schwarber scored.6th Inning0–4
  5. 🏃 DoubleHarper doubled to left, Turner scored, Schwarber to third.6th Inning0–2
  6. 🏃 DoubleBohm doubled to left, García scored, Stott to third.6th Inning0–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
San Francisco Giants000000000020
Philadelphia Phillies00010402—7110

San Francisco Giants

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jung Hoo Lee RF·0-4400000112.301.345.456
Matt Chapman 3B·0-4400000418.273.344.364
Luis Arraez 2B·1-330100008.315.345.380
Casey Schmitt 1B·0-3300000012.286.337.524
Rafael Devers 1B·0-3300000112.211.250.298
Willy Adames SS·0-3300000118.202.242.368
Heliot Ramos LF·1-3301000121.267.308.416
Drew Gilbert CF·0-3300000111.243.282.405
Patrick Bailey C·0-220000027.143.211.186
Jerar Encarnacion RF0-110000016.222.250.259

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tyler Mahle SP·5.065533082-465.8782
Matt Gage RP1.010011020-101.5020
Blade Tidwell RP2.042212047-303.0047

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·4-5524100120.254.323.373
Kyle Schwarber LF·0-3310002018.190.346.505
Bryce Harper 1B·2-441210009.269.350.509
Adolis Garcia RF·1-3311201018.233.310.388
Brandon Marsh LF·1-3311100012.298.320.468
Bryson Stott 2B·0-3300001320.213.267.263
Alec Bohm 3B·2-4402100011.157.228.216
Justin Crawford CF·1-4411100218.244.319.329
Rafael Marchan C·0-3300001023.091.149.159

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jesus Luzardo SP·7.020008088-625.5088
Orion Kerkering RP1.000002020-132.7020
Tim Mayza RP1.000002017-113.9417

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningEncarnacion struck out looking.
  2. 8th InningCrawford singled to right, Marsh scored.0–6
  3. 8th InningAdames struck out swinging.
  4. 5th InningRamos grounded out to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningCrawford singled to right, Marsh scored.0–6
  2. 4th InningMarsh hit sacrifice fly to left, Turner scored.0–1
  3. 8th InningTurner singled to center, Crawford scored, Marchán to second.0–7
  4. 6th InningGarcía doubled to center, Harper scored and Schwarber scored.0–4
  5. 6th InningHarper doubled to left, Turner scored, Schwarber to third.0–2
  6. 6th InningBohm doubled to left, García scored, Stott to third.0–5

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