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InTheRafters.com

STL @ PIT

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET64°F · 5 mph wind · overcast⚾ Kyle Leahy vs Braxton AshcraftMLB.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals 11 · Pittsburgh Pirates 7

Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgePNC ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on St. Louis Cardinals: Pittsburgh Pirates’s scoring margin profile and Pittsburgh Pirates’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 69%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates

Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48
Pittsburgh Pirates
BR Bryan Reynolds LF · #10 OC Oneil Cruz CF · #15 RO Ryan O'Hearn RF · #29 NG Nick Gonzales 3B · #3 KG Konnor Griffin SS · #6 BL Brandon Lowe 2B · #5 SH S. Horwitz 1B · #2 MK Mitch Keller P · #23 HD Henry Davis C · #32

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreGorman hit sacrifice fly to center, Burleson scored.5th Inning6–0
  2. ScoreGonzales singled to center, Reynolds scored and O'Hearn scored.8th Inning11–6
  3. ScoreGorman grounded out to first, Burleson scored, Walker to second.7th Inning8–3
  4. ScoreBurleson hit a ground rule double, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to third.5th Inning4–0
  5. ScoreGriffin homered to right center (403 feet).9th Inning11–7
  6. 🏃 DoubleBurleson doubled to right, Herrera scored and Wetherholt scored.8th Inning11–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
St. Louis Cardinals01203032011120
Pittsburgh Pirates0000030317132

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·1-3331001013.241.368.435
Ivan Herrera C·1-2231003020.238.414.416
Alec Burleson 1B·2-4422301223.264.344.418
Jordan Walker RF·2-4412300113.283.358.547
Nolan Gorman 3B·1-4411310121.221.287.368
Masyn Winn SS·2-5502100217.261.337.370
Nathan Church LF·1-5501000013.250.289.461
Pedro Pages C·1-5501000231.250.303.433
Victor Scott II CF·1-5511110220.192.241.247

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Leahy SP·5.193307282-545.5282
Gordon Graceffo RP1.200000011-111.1311
Justin Bruihl RP1.033211025-155.8725
Matt Svanson RP1.011103118-1110.3418

Pittsburgh Pirates

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Oneil Cruz CF·2-5522110218.265.323.538
Brandon Lowe 2B·1-330100017.242.336.515
Nick Yorke 3B0-110000017.215.307.308
Bryan Reynolds LF·2-3322001114.245.386.368
Ryan O'Hearn RF·2-4422310111.323.410.515
Nick Gonzales 3B·2-4402200019.330.369.381
Spencer Horwitz 1B·1-4401000017.256.362.359
Konnor Griffin SS·2-4412110114.226.283.345
Jake Mangum LF·1-4401000113.273.324.303
Henry Davis C·0-3300000211.161.257.210
Marcell Ozuna DH0-110000015.160.225.245

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Braxton Ashcraft SP·4.166637287-583.7187
Hunter Barco RP4.265523084-527.7184

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningGonzales grounded out to second.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  3. 8th InningYorke struck out looking.
  4. 5th InningGorman hit sacrifice fly to center, Burleson scored.6–0

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningGorman hit sacrifice fly to center, Burleson scored.6–0
  2. 8th InningGonzales singled to center, Reynolds scored and O'Hearn scored.11–6
  3. 7th InningGorman grounded out to first, Burleson scored, Walker to second.8–3
  4. 5th InningBurleson hit a ground rule double, Wetherholt scored, Herrera to third.4–0
  5. 9th InningGriffin homered to right center (403 feet).11–7
  6. 8th InningBurleson doubled to right, Herrera scored and Wetherholt scored.11–3
  7. 7th InningWinn singled to right, Walker scored.9–3
  8. 3rd InningScott II homered to right (415 feet).2–0
  9. 6th InningCruz homered to center (414 feet).6–1
  10. 5th InningWalker hit sacrifice fly to center, Herrera scored, Burleson to third.5–0
  11. 8th InningO'Hearn singled to right, Cruz scored, Reynolds to second.11–4
  12. 7th InningWalker singled to center, Herrera scored, Burleson to third.7–3
  13. 6th InningO'Hearn homered to right center (398 feet), Reynolds scored.6–3
  14. 3rd InningWalker singled to left, Wetherholt scored.3–0
  15. 2nd InningGorman homered to right (413 feet).1–0

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