WSH @ NYM
Citi Field · Queens, New York
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:10 PM ET50°F · 6 mph wind · overcast⚾ Zack Littell vs Clay HolmesMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readNew York Mets
Washington Nationals 0 · New York Mets 8
Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Venue EdgeCiti FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
New York Mets is the model’s call — Washington Nationals on the margin numbers, New York Mets on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 60%. Actual: New York Mets by 8.
Pre-game pick: Washington Nationals at 60%. Actual: New York Mets by 8.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Washington Nationals
- Cade Cavalli SP · #24
- Jake Irvin SP · #27
- PJ Poulin RP · #50
- James Wood RF · #29
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Injury Report
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
Washington Nationals
Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSoto homered to left center (381 feet), Mauricio scored.0–8
- ScoreBichette hit sacrifice fly to right, Benge scored.0–6
- ScoreSemien grounded into fielder's choice to third, Melendez scored and Vientos scored on error, Semien second, Baty safe at third on error.0–3
- ScoreBenge singled to center, Baty scored and Semien scored.0–5
- ScoreBichette homered to right center (386 feet).0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| New York Mets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 6 | 0 |
Washington Nationals
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .237 | .400 | .553 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .242 | .270 | .347 |
| Brady House 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .226 | .281 | .349 |
| CJ Abrams SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .267 | .377 | .505 |
| Daylen Lile LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .269 | .336 | .403 |
| Jacob Young CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .237 | .276 | .355 |
| Jorbit Vivas 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .288 | .386 | .339 |
| Drew Millas C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .160 | .222 | .200 |
| Nasim Nunez 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .195 | .300 | .207 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell SP· | 3.2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 84-46 | 7.85 | 84 |
| Brad Lord RP | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27-19 | 3.74 | 27 |
| Andre Granillo RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 32-18 | 8.53 | 32 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .237 | .276 | .331 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .300 | .407 | .460 |
| Francisco Alvarez C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .228 | .319 | .405 |
| MJ Melendez LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .280 | .333 | .520 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .209 | .227 | .372 |
| Mark Vientos 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .236 | .291 | .347 |
| Brett Baty RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | .212 | .250 | .318 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .214 | .274 | .291 |
| Carson Benge LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .195 | .258 | .293 |
| Ronny Mauricio SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .278 | .278 | .278 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 94-64 | 1.75 | 94 |
| Tobias Myers RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25-18 | 2.33 | 25 |
| Craig Kimbrel RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14-10 | 5.06 | 14 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningGarcía Jr. grounded out to second.
- 2nd InningBaty grounded out to first.
- 8th InningWood struck out looking.
- 7th InningSoto flied out to left.
Scoring Plays
- 4th InningSoto homered to left center (381 feet), Mauricio scored.0–8
- 4th InningBichette hit sacrifice fly to right, Benge scored.0–6
- 4th InningSemien grounded into fielder's choice to third, Melendez scored and Vientos scored on error, Semien second, Baty safe at third on error.0–3
- 4th InningBenge singled to center, Baty scored and Semien scored.0–5
- 1st InningBichette homered to right center (386 feet).0–1