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InTheRafters.com

ARI @ MIL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Eduardo Rodriguez vs Brandon SproatMLB.TVDBACKS.TVBrewers.TV
Result readArizona Diamondbacks

Arizona Diamondbacks 6 · Milwaukee Brewers 2

Final
Arizona Diamondbacks19-20-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 30%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Arizona Diamondbacks on the back of Milwaukee Brewers’s margin work and Milwaukee Brewers’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 84%. Actual: Arizona Diamondbacks by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Arizona Diamondbacks

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Carlos Santana10-Day-ILPavin Smith60-Day-ILCristian Mena60-Day-ILJordan Lawlar60-Day-ILA.J. Puk60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Arizona Diamondbacks
JB Jorge Barrosa LF · #1 AT Alek Thomas CF · #5 CC Corbin Carroll RF · #7 NA Nolan Arenado 3B · #28 GP G. Perdomo SS · #2 KM Ketel Marte 2B · #4 JF Jose Fernandez 1B · #11 ZG Zac Gallen P · #23 AC A. Castillo C · #25
Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreCarroll homered to right center (430 feet).9th Inning6–2
  2. 🏃 DoubleBauers doubled to center, Turang scored.1st Inning0–1
  3. 🏃 DoubleTurang doubled to center, Lockridge scored.3rd Inning0–2
  4. ScoreDel Castillo homered to left center (377 feet).4th Inning1–2
  5. ScoreMarte homered to right (409 feet).9th Inning5–2
  6. ScoreArenado homered to left center (411 feet), Vargas scored and Gurriel Jr. scored.4th Inning4–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Arizona Diamondbacks0004000026110
Milwaukee Brewers101000000261

Arizona Diamondbacks

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Geraldo Perdomo SS·0-2200003127.244.362.384
Ketel Marte 2B·2-5512110120.239.295.398
Corbin Carroll RF·2-5512110327.284.389.558
Adrian Del Castillo C·1-5511110216.222.263.389
Ildemaro Vargas 1B·2-5512000122.372.393.698
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF·2-441200008.156.206.188
Jorge Barrosa LF0-000000000.203.254.407
Nolan Arenado 3B·1-3311311016.284.324.463
Jose Fernandez 1B·1-4401000117.325.349.470
Alek Thomas CF·0-4400000120.195.233.366

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eduardo Rodriguez SP·4.252244087-483.0387
Kevin Ginkel RP1.110003026-163.9526
Juan Morillo RP1.000001014-101.8414
Taylor Clarke RP1.000001014-92.8714
Paul Sewald RP1.000001013-94.0913

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Lockridge LF·1-3311001216.257.345.297
Tyler Black 3B0-110000013.357.357.429
Brice Turang 2B·2-4412100019.280.407.500
William Contreras C·0-4400000110.262.336.374
Jake Bauers 1B·1-4401100223.260.317.469
Gary Sanchez C·0-2200002016.230.390.541
Luis Rengifo 3B·2-4402000016.188.258.275
Greg Jones LF·0-220000017.118.118.118
Garrett Mitchell CF0-220000027.230.387.365
Blake Perkins LF·0-220000005.122.234.195
Sal Frelick RF0-2200000012.212.317.306
Joey Ortiz SS·0-1100001010.197.284.197
David Hamilton 3B0-2200000110.239.349.268

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brandon Sproat SP·4.164425282-526.7582
DL Hall RP2.110013042-241.9342
Brian Fitzpatrick RP1.120010024-130.0024
Grant Anderson RP1.022202225-183.6025

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningFernandez struck out swinging.
  2. 4th InningThomas flied out to center.
  3. 3rd InningPerdomo walked.
  4. 9th InningPerdomo grounded out to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningCarroll homered to right center (430 feet).6–2
  2. 1st InningBauers doubled to center, Turang scored.0–1
  3. 3rd InningTurang doubled to center, Lockridge scored.0–2
  4. 4th InningDel Castillo homered to left center (377 feet).1–2
  5. 9th InningMarte homered to right (409 feet).5–2
  6. 4th InningArenado homered to left center (411 feet), Vargas scored and Gurriel Jr. scored.4–2

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