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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor12:05 PM PT78°F · 8 mph wind · clear⚾ Noah Cameron vs Jeffrey SpringsMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readAthletics

Kansas City Royals 3 · Athletics 6

Final
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Athletics on the back of Athletics’s margin work and Kansas City Royals’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 58%. Actual: Athletics by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Kansas City Royals

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Injury Report

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 💣 Home RunHernaiz reached on infield single to second, Kurtz scored on error, Hernaiz safe at second on throwing error by second baseman Loftin.2nd Inning2–5
  2. ScoreDíaz homered to right (373 feet).8th Inning3–6
  3. ScoreGarcia homered to left center (395 feet).2nd Inning2–1
  4. ScoreMarte singled to right, Garcia scored, Loftin to second, Perez to third.1st Inning1–0
  5. 🏃 DoubleKurtz doubled to center, Langeliers scored and Wilson scored.2nd Inning2–4
  6. 🏃 DoubleLangeliers doubled to left, Butler scored, Wilson to third.2nd Inning2–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Kansas City Royals1100000103101
Athletics140000106110

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·3-5523110012.274.341.442
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·0-3300002122.289.367.430
Lane Thomas CF·0-3300000119.233.378.300
Jac Caglianone RF1-110100004.250.333.398
Salvador Perez C·1-4401000016.200.236.350
Nick Loftin 3B·0-2200001012.258.378.355
Michael Massey 2B0-1100001111.220.255.380
Starling Marte RF·3-4403100014.303.314.394
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B0-110000004.165.274.320
Carter Jensen C·0-4400000318.256.340.478
Isaac Collins LF·1-4401000019.215.333.304
Elias Diaz C·1-4411110017.364.417.818

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Noah Cameron SP·5.195425093-615.4093
John Schreiber RP1.221110020-124.6320
Alex Lange RP1.00000005-36.595

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jacob Wilson SS·2-5522000016.289.298.391
Shea Langeliers C·3-442310008.328.382.592
Nick Kurtz 1B·1-3311201113.245.424.434
Colby Thomas RF·0-2200001014.222.364.222
Jeff McNeil 2B0-110000003.286.365.385
Darell Hernaiz 3B·3-440320009.256.341.333
Carlos Cortes RF·1-4401000215.391.462.667
Austin Wynns C·0-4400000110.094.147.094
Zack Gelof CF·1-440100009.229.250.343
Lawrence Butler RF·0-3310001121.181.260.298

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jeffrey Springs SP·3.052214167-423.9667
Luis Medina RP2.230021052-282.1352
Scott Barlow RP1.000010021-113.1421
Brady Basso RP1.111100112-84.5012
Jack Perkins RP1.010001016-132.7016

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningWitt Jr. walked.
  2. 4th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  3. 1st InningThomas struck out swinging.
  4. 4th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
  5. 3rd InningButler struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningHernaiz reached on infield single to second, Kurtz scored on error, Hernaiz safe at second on throwing error by second baseman Loftin.2–5
  2. 8th InningDíaz homered to right (373 feet).3–6
  3. 2nd InningGarcia homered to left center (395 feet).2–1
  4. 1st InningMarte singled to right, Garcia scored, Loftin to second, Perez to third.1–0
  5. 2nd InningKurtz doubled to center, Langeliers scored and Wilson scored.2–4
  6. 2nd InningLangeliers doubled to left, Butler scored, Wilson to third.2–2
  7. 1st InningHernaiz reached on infield single to shortstop, Wilson scored, Thomas to second, Langeliers to third.1–1
  8. 7th InningHernaiz reached on infield single to shortstop, Langeliers scored, McNeil to second.2–6

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