SF @ PHI
Citizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor5:35 PM ET55°F · 9 mph wind · clear⚾ Adrian Houser vs Tim MayzaMLB.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants 5 · Philadelphia Phillies 6
Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Philadelphia Phillies gets the model’s nod thanks to Philadelphia Phillies’s margin advantage, with Philadelphia Phillies’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 78%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 1.
Pre-game pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 78%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- 🏃 DoubleSchwarber doubled to right, Marsh scored.5–5
- ScoreGarcía singled to left, Schwarber scored and Turner scored, Harper to third.2–4
- ScoreRamos hit sacrifice fly to left, Haase scored.1–2
- ScoreSchwarber homered to right center (446 feet).0–2
- ScoreArraez singled to right, Gilbert scored and Lee scored, Chapman to third.4–4
- ScoreBohm hit sacrifice fly to center, García scored.5–6
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | .282 | .322 | .427 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 32 | .271 | .353 | .364 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .305 | .333 | .364 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .301 | .353 | .538 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .207 | .248 | .289 |
| Willy Adames SS· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .197 | .240 | .352 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .297 | .344 | .441 |
| Eric Haase C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .333 | .333 | .500 |
| Will Brennan LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Patrick Bailey C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .149 | .222 | .189 |
| Drew Gilbert CF· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | .279 | .311 | .442 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser SP· | 4.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 68-42 | 7.12 | 68 |
| Ryan Borucki RP | 0.1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16-7 | 6.00 | 16 |
| Caleb Kilian RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22-15 | 0.64 | 22 |
| Keaton Winn RP | 2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 39-22 | 2.84 | 39 |
| Matt Gage RP | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-2 | 1.42 | 3 |
Philadelphia Phillies
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .252 | .317 | .386 |
| Kyle Schwarber LF· | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .225 | .381 | .595 |
| Dylan Moore CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .214 | .000 |
| Bryce Harper 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | .263 | .356 | .491 |
| Adolis Garcia RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .243 | .320 | .387 |
| Bryson Stott 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .207 | .258 | .276 |
| Alec Bohm 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .151 | .218 | .208 |
| Justin Crawford CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .267 | .333 | .367 |
| Felix Reyes LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .143 | .143 | .286 |
| Brandon Marsh LF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .303 | .324 | .485 |
| Garrett Stubbs C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .222 | .273 | .222 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Mayza RP· | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33-19 | 3.50 | 33 |
| Nolan Hoffman RP | 2.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 40-24 | 2.70 | 40 |
| Jonathan Bowlan RP | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22-12 | 5.63 | 22 |
| Trevor Richards RP | 2.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 45-33 | 3.86 | 45 |
| Brad Keller RP | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20-14 | 4.26 | 20 |
| Jose Alvarado RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17-12 | 6.97 | 17 |
| Chase Shugart RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-10 | 1.00 | 16 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningRamos struck out swinging.
- 8th InningGarcía walked.
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningSchwarber doubled to right, Marsh scored.5–5
- 5th InningGarcía singled to left, Schwarber scored and Turner scored, Harper to third.2–4
- 4th InningRamos hit sacrifice fly to left, Haase scored.1–2
- 1st InningSchwarber homered to right center (446 feet).0–2
- 6th InningArraez singled to right, Gilbert scored and Lee scored, Chapman to third.4–4
- 10th InningBohm hit sacrifice fly to center, García scored.5–6
- 5th InningDevers hit sacrifice fly to left, Schmitt scored.2–2
- 9th InningLee singled to center, Schmitt scored, Devers to second.5–4
- 1st InningTurner homered to right center (373 feet).0–1