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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:10 PM ET⚾ Robbie Ray vs Shane McClanahanMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays

San Francisco Giants 0 · Tampa Bay Rays 3

Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Venue EdgeTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Tampa Bay Rays because Tampa Bay Rays owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Tampa Bay Rays has the recent-form edge. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 83%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

San Francisco Giants

Tampa Bay Rays

Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day

San Francisco Giants

Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSimpson hit sacrifice fly to left, Walls scored.6th Inning0–3
  2. ScoreCaminero homered to left (432 feet).4th Inning0–2
  3. ScoreDíaz homered to right (364 feet).2nd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
San Francisco Giants000000000060
Tampa Bay Rays01010100—350

San Francisco Giants

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Heliot Ramos LF·0-440000019.272.311.412
Matt Chapman 3B·0-4400000215.262.343.352
Luis Arraez 2B·1-4401000017.303.331.369
Casey Schmitt 1B·1-330100006.302.352.531
Rafael Devers 1B·1-3301000119.210.250.290
Willy Adames SS·1-3301000113.200.242.352
Jung Hoo Lee RF·1-330100006.298.344.439
Jerar Encarnacion RF·0-220000017.188.212.219
Drew Gilbert CF0-110000005.273.304.432
Patrick Bailey C·1-220100009.158.229.197
Will Brennan LF0-110000013.000.000.000
Eric Haase C0-000000000.333.333.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Robbie Ray SP·6.1433052102-672.95102
JT Brubaker RP1.210001021-152.2521

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson LF·1-3301100111.314.346.355
Junior Caminero 3B·1-3311110124.258.328.508
Ryan Vilade RF·0-3300000012.314.368.371
Yandy Diaz 1B·1-221111005.333.422.504
Jonathan Aranda 1B0-110000008.218.331.445
Ben Williamson 2B·0-330000019.241.308.325
Jonny DeLuca RF·0-3300000014.270.303.444
Jake Fraley RF·0-3300000215.238.314.429
Nick Fortes C·0-3300000110.266.310.367
Taylor Walls SS·2-3312000015.210.310.258

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shane McClanahan SP·6.050005073-483.1073
Ian Seymour RP1.010000014-116.2814
Cole Sulser RP1.000001010-83.0610
Bryan Baker RP1.000001012-92.9212

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 1st InningCaminero struck out swinging.
  2. 1st InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 1st InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 7th InningAranda grounded out to pitcher.
  5. 5th InningDevers singled to right.
  6. 1st InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningSimpson hit sacrifice fly to left, Walls scored.0–3
  2. 4th InningCaminero homered to left (432 feet).0–2
  3. 2nd InningDíaz homered to right (364 feet).0–1

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