NYM @ LAA
Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:07 PM PT62°F · 5 mph wind · overcast⚾ Clay Holmes vs Jack KochanowiczMLB.TVAngels.TV
Result readNew York Mets
New York Mets 5 · Los Angeles Angels 1
Final
New York Mets15-25-2-0.7 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 55%
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeAngel StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
New York Mets is the model’s call — Los Angeles Angels on the margin numbers, New York Mets on the form numbers. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 51%. Actual: New York Mets by 4.
Pre-game pick: New York Mets at 51%. Actual: New York Mets by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Mets
- Freddy Peralta SP · #51
- Clay Holmes SP · #35
- Tobias Myers RP · #32
- Bo Bichette 3B · #19
Los Angeles Angels
- Jose Soriano SP · #59
- Yusei Kikuchi SP · #16
- Brent Suter RP · #37
- Jo Adell RF · #7
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
New York Mets
Nate LavenderDay-To-DayNick BurdiDay-To-DayGrae KessingerOutJose RojasDay-To-DayA.J. Minter15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSoler singled to center, Neto scored, Trout to second.0–1
- ScoreVientos homered to left (378 feet), Benge scored.5–1
- ScoreVientos homered to center (427 feet), Benge scored.2–1
- 🏃 DoubleBenge doubled to right, Baty scored.3–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
New York Mets
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .243 | .280 | .321 |
| Juan Soto LF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .314 | .415 | .500 |
| MJ Melendez LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .324 | .395 | .588 |
| Austin Slater LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .333 | .333 | .444 |
| Brett Baty RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | .211 | .280 | .305 |
| Marcus Semien 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .213 | .265 | .279 |
| Carson Benge LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .186 | .255 | .278 |
| Mark Vientos 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .250 | .297 | .440 |
| Tyrone Taylor RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .200 | .226 | .317 |
| Luis Torrens C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .182 | .206 | .242 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes SP· | 6.2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 99-71 | 1.69 | 99 |
| Luke Weaver RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17-13 | 5.02 | 17 |
| Brooks Raley RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15-12 | 1.42 | 15 |
Los Angeles Angels
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .216 | .331 | .381 |
| Mike Trout CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .258 | .433 | .550 |
| Nolan Schanuel 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .248 | .304 | .368 |
| Jorge Soler RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .239 | .336 | .469 |
| Jo Adell RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .268 | .305 | .366 |
| Josh Lowe LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .159 | .211 | .307 |
| Vaughn Grissom 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .298 | .375 | .447 |
| Oswald Peraza 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .283 | .347 | .467 |
| Sebastian Rivero C· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .500 | .500 | .500 |
| Yoan Moncada 3B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .182 | .314 | .318 |
| Travis d'Arnaud C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .133 | .257 | .167 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kochanowicz SP· | 6.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 110-62 | 3.05 | 110 |
| Tayler Saucedo RP | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11-6 | 13.50 | 11 |
| Nick Sandlin RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23-11 | 11.42 | 23 |
| Drew Pomeranz RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-7 | 8.53 | 9 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 1st InningNeto walked.
- 1st InningPitch 11 : Ball 4
- 1st InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul
- 4th InningAdell struck out swinging.
- 4th InningBenge walked.
- 1st InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningSoler singled to center, Neto scored, Trout to second.0–1
- 8th InningVientos homered to left (378 feet), Benge scored.5–1
- 4th InningVientos homered to center (427 feet), Benge scored.2–1
- 8th InningBenge doubled to right, Baty scored.3–1