SF @ TB
Tropicana Field · St. Petersburg, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:40 PM ET⚾ Tyler Mahle vs Steven MatzMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays
San Francisco Giants 1 · Tampa Bay Rays 2
Final
San Francisco Giants16-24-1-1.2 net/g (SOS-adj -1.2) · expected win rate 36% · last 10: 30%
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Venue EdgeTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Tampa Bay Rays on the back of Tampa Bay Rays’s margin work and Tampa Bay Rays’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 83%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 1.
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 83%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
San Francisco Giants
- Logan Webb SP · #62
- Robbie Ray SP · #38
- Jung Hoo Lee RF · #51
- Matt Chapman 3B · #26
Tampa Bay Rays
- Drew Rasmussen SP · #57
- Nick Martinez SP · #28
- Cole Sulser RP · #71
- Griffin Jax RP · #22
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day
San Francisco Giants
Daniel Susac10-Day-ILHarrison Bader10-Day-ILErik Miller15-Day-ILJason Foley60-Day-ILLogan Webb15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreSchmitt singled to center, Devers scored.1–0
- ScoreAranda singled to right, Simpson scored, Caminero to third.1–2
- ScoreVilade hit sacrifice bunt, Caminero scored, Aranda to second.1–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
San Francisco Giants
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .270 | .308 | .410 |
| Rafael Devers 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | .214 | .257 | .305 |
| Casey Schmitt 1B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .308 | .354 | .519 |
| Luis Arraez 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .308 | .333 | .377 |
| Matt Chapman 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .246 | .324 | .331 |
| Willy Adames SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .195 | .236 | .346 |
| Jung Hoo Lee RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .281 | .331 | .413 |
| Jerar Encarnacion RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .176 | .200 | .206 |
| Drew Gilbert CF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .271 | .314 | .417 |
| Eric Haase C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .300 | .300 | .500 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle SP· | 5.1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 92-62 | 5.00 | 92 |
| Matt Gage RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15-9 | 1.29 | 15 |
| Keaton Winn RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 2.63 | 9 |
| Ryan Walker RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14-8 | 4.61 | 14 |
| Caleb Kilian RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-12 | 0.60 | 15 |
Tampa Bay Rays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Simpson LF· | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | .300 | .331 | .338 |
| Junior Caminero 3B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | .264 | .350 | .504 |
| Jonathan Aranda 1B· | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .252 | .352 | .462 |
| Ryan Vilade RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .275 | .326 | .325 |
| Jake Fraley RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .239 | .311 | .418 |
| Jonny DeLuca RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .279 | .310 | .456 |
| Ben Williamson 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .244 | .316 | .326 |
| Cedric Mullins CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .127 | .189 | .225 |
| Nick Fortes C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .262 | .303 | .357 |
| Richie Palacios 2B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .204 | .365 | .286 |
| Hunter Feduccia C | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .273 | .400 | .303 |
| Taylor Walls SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .191 | .295 | .235 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 89-60 | 3.86 | 89 |
| Hunter Bigge RP | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26-17 | 3.60 | 26 |
| Bryan Baker RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-8 | 2.70 | 11 |
| Ian Seymour RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-7 | 5.87 | 8 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningDevers struck out swinging.
- 6th InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 3rd InningSimpson struck out looking.
- 8th InningCaminero walked.
- 7th InningWalls flied out to center.
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningSchmitt singled to center, Devers scored.1–0
- 10th InningAranda singled to right, Simpson scored, Caminero to third.1–2
- 8th InningVilade hit sacrifice bunt, Caminero scored, Aranda to second.1–1